OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2013

Waste Management Phoenix Open

2013-01-31 · TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course)

Winner
Phil Mickelson
Winning score
-28
Field
128
Field strength
+0.107 SG

The 2013 Waste Management Phoenix Open was played at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course), starting 31 January 2013. Phil Mickelson won at 28 under par (256), 4 strokes ahead of Brandt Snedeker. The winning card was 60, 65, 64 and 67, and the win paid $1,116,000. Brandt Snedeker finished second, and Scott Piercy was third. 128 players started the event. The field averaged +0.107 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 90% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 128. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 72 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Bgrade
Rank correlation
+0.416
Top-20 hit rate
60%
Top-10 avg model rank
18.4

Grade is this event’s percentile (78th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Bo Van Pelt1st16th
Bubba Watson2nd15th
Brandt Snedeker3rd2nd
Keegan Bradley4th24th
Robert Garrigus5th11th
Phil Mickelson6th1st
Nick Watney7th43rd
Padraig Harrington8th9th
Brendon de Jonge9th6th
Carl Pettersson10th43rd

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Brendan Steele61st6th(−55)
Jeff Overton16th70th(+54)
Russell Henley17th67th(+50)
Troy Matteson65th16th(−49)
Gary Woodland62nd16th(−46)
Ted Potter, Jr.68th24th(−44)
Jason Day15th57th(+42)
James Hahn58th16th(−42)
Nick Watney7th43rd(+36)
Carl Pettersson10th43rd(+33)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course) in Scottsdale, Arizona, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Waste Management Phoenix Open in 2013?

Phil Mickelson won the 2013 Waste Management Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course), finishing 28 under par.

Where was the 2013 Waste Management Phoenix Open played?

The 2013 Waste Management Phoenix Open was played at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course), starting 31 January 2013.

What was the winning score at the 2013 Waste Management Phoenix Open?

The winning score was 28 under par (256 strokes), posted by Phil Mickelson.

How many players were in the Waste Management Phoenix Open field?

128 players started the 2013 Waste Management Phoenix Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.