Tournaments / 2016-2017
Valspar Championship
2017-03-09 · Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course
- Winner
- Adam Hadwin
- Winning score
- -14
- Field
- 158
- Field strength
- +0.037 SG
The 2016-2017 Valspar Championship was played at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course, starting 9 March 2017. Adam Hadwin won at 14 under par (270), 1 stroke ahead of Patrick Cantlay. The winning card was 68, 64, 67 and 71, and the win paid $1,134,000. Patrick Cantlay finished second, and Dominic Bozzelli and Jim Herman tied for third. 158 players started the event. The field averaged +0.037 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 83% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.
Final leaderboard
Top 20 of 158. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.
- Adam Hadwin
- Pos
- 1
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 64
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 270
- Patrick Cantlay
- Pos
- 2
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 66
- R3
- 66
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 271
- Dominic Bozzelli
- Pos
- T3
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 272
- Jim Herman
- Pos
- T3
- R1
- 62
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 272
- Tony Finau
- Pos
- 5
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 64
- Total
- 273
- Charl Schwartzel
- Pos
- 6
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 275
- Henrik Stenson
- Pos
- T7
- R1
- 64
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 276
- Wesley Bryan
- Pos
- T7
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 276
- John Huh
- Pos
- T9
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 277
- Russell Henley
- Pos
- T9
- R1
- 64
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 75
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 277
- Chad Campbell
- Pos
- T11
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 278
- Jason Dufner
- Pos
- T11
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 278
- Keith Mitchell
- Pos
- T11
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 278
- Alex Cejka
- Pos
- T14
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 279
- Graeme McDowell
- Pos
- T14
- R1
- 75
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 279
- J.T. Poston
- Pos
- T14
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 279
- Nick Watney
- Pos
- T14
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 279
- David Hearn
- Pos
- T18
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 74
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 280
- Kevin Streelman
- Pos
- T18
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 280
- Lucas Glover
- Pos
- T18
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 73
- Total
- 280
Model score
Backtest · reconstructedOur course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 69 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.
- Rank correlation
- +0.258
- Top-20 hit rate
- 40%
- Top-10 avg model rank
- 28.9
Grade is this event’s percentile (29th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.
Who the model liked
Its top 10, and where they finished.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Henrik Stenson | 1st | 7th |
| Ryan Moore | 2nd | 18th |
| Matt Kuchar | 3rd | 22nd |
| Gary Woodland | 4th | 58th |
| Bill Haas | 5th | 41st |
| Patrick Reed | 6th | 38th |
| Jason Dufner | 7th | 11th |
| Charles Howell III | 8th | 49th |
| Webb Simpson | 9th | 41st |
| Jim Furyk | 10th | 41st |
Where it was most wrong
Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Dominic Bozzelli | 66th | 3rd(−63) |
| Patrick Cantlay | 59th | 2nd(−57) |
| Gary Woodland | 4th | 58th(+54) |
| J.J. Henry | 69th | 22nd(−47) |
| Keegan Bradley | 13th | 58th(+44) |
| Keith Mitchell | 55th | 11th(−44) |
| Jason Kokrak | 16th | 58th(+42) |
| Charles Howell III | 8th | 49th(+41) |
| Bryson DeChambeau | 65th | 27th(−38) |
| Bill Haas | 5th | 41st(+36) |
One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.
This event in the model
OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.
This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works
The venue
This event was played at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course in Palm Harbor, Florida, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.
Common questions
Who won the Valspar Championship in 2016-2017?
Where was the 2016-2017 Valspar Championship played?
What was the winning score at the 2016-2017 Valspar Championship?
How many players were in the Valspar Championship field?
Where these numbers come from
Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.