OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2026

Valero Texas Open

2026-04-02 · TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course

Winner
J.J. Spaun
Winning score
-17
Field
130
Field strength
-0.035 SG

The 2026 Valero Texas Open was played at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course, starting 2 April 2026. J.J. Spaun won at 17 under par (271), 1 stroke ahead of Matt Wallace. The winning card was 69, 69, 66 and 67, and the win paid $1,764,000. Matt Wallace, Michael Kim and Robert MacIntyre tied for second. 130 players started the event. The field averaged -0.035 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 84% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 130. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 70 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Bgrade
Rank correlation
+0.458
Top-20 hit rate
45%
Top-10 avg model rank
23.0

Grade is this event’s percentile (87th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Hideki Matsuyama1st21st
Tommy Fleetwood2nd10th
Ludvig Åberg3rd5th
Si Woo Kim4th10th
J.J. Spaun5th1st
Robert MacIntyre6th2nd
Maverick McNealy7th21st
Alex Noren8th30th
Jordan Spieth9th63rd
Alex Smalley10th14th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Jordan Spieth9th63rd(+54)
Chandler Phillips62nd8th(−54)
Kristoffer Reitan61st10th(−51)
Will Zalatoris26th67th(+41)
Stephan Jaeger20th59th(+39)
Paul Waring68th30th(−38)
Thorbjørn Olesen12th49th(+37)
Matt Wallace38th2nd(−36)
Kevin Yu41st7th(−34)
S.H. Kim55th21st(−34)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course in San Antonio, Texas, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Valero Texas Open in 2026?

J.J. Spaun won the 2026 Valero Texas Open at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course, finishing 17 under par.

Where was the 2026 Valero Texas Open played?

The 2026 Valero Texas Open was played at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course, starting 2 April 2026.

What was the winning score at the 2026 Valero Texas Open?

The winning score was 17 under par (271 strokes), posted by J.J. Spaun.

How many players were in the Valero Texas Open field?

130 players started the 2026 Valero Texas Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.