OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2025

U.S. Open

2025-06-12 · Oakmont Country Club

Winner
J.J. Spaun
Winning score
-1
Field
156
Field strength
+0.366 SG

The 2025 U.S. Open was played at Oakmont Country Club, starting 12 June 2025. J.J. Spaun won at 1 under par (279), 2 strokes ahead of Robert MacIntyre. The winning card was 66, 72, 69 and 72, and the win paid $4,300,000. Robert MacIntyre finished second, and Viktor Hovland was third. 156 players started the event. The field averaged +0.366 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 56% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 156. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 66 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Bgrade
Rank correlation
+0.426
Top-20 hit rate
55%
Top-10 avg model rank
16.9

Grade is this event’s percentile (80th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Scottie Scheffler1st7th
Jon Rahm2nd7th
Xander Schauffele3rd12th
Rory McIlroy4th19th
Collin Morikawa5th23rd
Russell Henley6th10th
Hideki Matsuyama7th42nd
Keegan Bradley8th33rd
Sam Burns9th7th
Viktor Hovland10th3rd

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Thriston Lawrence66th12th(−54)
Sungjae Im11th57th(+46)
Carlos Ortiz49th4th(−45)
Brooks Koepka52nd12th(−40)
Denny McCarthy19th57th(+38)
Harris English21st59th(+38)
Chris Kirk48th12th(−36)
Hideki Matsuyama7th42nd(+35)
Cameron Young37th4th(−33)
Emiliano Grillo50th19th(−31)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Oakmont Country Club in Oakmont, Pennsylvania, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the U.S. Open in 2025?

J.J. Spaun won the 2025 U.S. Open at Oakmont Country Club, finishing 1 under par.

Where was the 2025 U.S. Open played?

The 2025 U.S. Open was played at Oakmont Country Club, starting 12 June 2025.

What was the winning score at the 2025 U.S. Open?

The winning score was 1 under par (279 strokes), posted by J.J. Spaun.

How many players were in the U.S. Open field?

156 players started the 2025 U.S. Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.