Tournaments / 2017-2018

U.S. Open

2018-06-14 · Shinnecock Hills Golf Club

Winner: Brooks Koepka
Winning score: +1
Field: 156
Field strength: +0.634 SG

The 2017-2018 U.S. Open was played at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club, starting 14 June 2018. Brooks Koepka won at 1 over par (281), 1 stroke ahead of Tommy Fleetwood. The winning card was 75, 66, 72 and 68, and the win paid $2,160,000. Tommy Fleetwood finished second, and Dustin Johnson was third. 156 players started the event. The field averaged +0.634 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 53% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 156. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.


1	Brooks Koepka	75	66	72	68	281	+1
2	Tommy Fleetwood	75	66	78	63	282	+2
3	Dustin Johnson	69	67	77	70	283	+3
4	Patrick Reed	73	72	71	68	284	+4
5	Tony Finau	75	72	66	72	285	+5
T6	Daniel Berger	76	71	66	73	286	+6
T6	Henrik Stenson	71	70	74	71	286	+6
T6	Tyrrell Hatton	75	70	72	69	286	+6
T6	Xander Schauffele	72	74	72	68	286	+6
T10	Justin Rose	71	70	73	73	287	+7
T10	Webb Simpson	76	71	71	69	287	+7
T12	Matt Fitzpatrick	73	70	75	70	288	+8
T12	Russell Knox	73	71	75	69	288	+8
T12	Zach Johnson	73	73	72	70	288	+8
15	Kiradech Aphibarnrat	76	72	68	73	289	+9
T16	Haotong Li	79	68	74	69	290	+10
T16	Hideki Matsuyama	75	70	79	66	290	+10
T16	Louis Oosthuizen	74	72	75	69	290	+10
T16	Paul Casey	73	73	73	71	290	+10
T20	Brian Gay	73	74	70	74	291	+11

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 67 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Agrade

Rank correlation: +0.508
Top-20 hit rate: 65%
Top-10 avg model rank: 15.6

Grade is this event’s percentile (95th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

Player	Model	Finish
Dustin Johnson	1st	3rd
Justin Rose	2nd	10th
Justin Thomas	3rd	25th
Rickie Fowler	4th	20th
Henrik Stenson	5th	6th
Paul Casey	6th	16th
Hideki Matsuyama	7th	16th
Webb Simpson	8th	10th
Tony Finau	9th	5th
Marc Leishman	10th	45th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

Player	Model	Finish
Haotong Li	67th	16th(−51)
Dylan Meyer	66th	20th(−46)
Kiradech Aphibarnrat	54th	15th(−39)
Byeong Hun An	30th	67th(+37)
Phil Mickelson	12th	48th(+36)
Tyrrell Hatton	42nd	6th(−36)
Marc Leishman	10th	45th(+35)
Patrick Cantlay	11th	45th(+34)
Matt Fitzpatrick	45th	12th(−33)
Aaron Baddeley	58th	25th(−33)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's model Probabilities and the track record How the model works

The venue

This event was played at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club in Southampton, New York, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the U.S. Open in 2017-2018?

Brooks Koepka won the 2017-2018 U.S. Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club, finishing 1 over par.

Where was the 2017-2018 U.S. Open played?

The 2017-2018 U.S. Open was played at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club, starting 14 June 2018.

What was the winning score at the 2017-2018 U.S. Open?

The winning score was 1 over par (281 strokes), posted by Brooks Koepka.

How many players were in the U.S. Open field?

156 players started the 2017-2018 U.S. Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.