OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2015-2016

U.S. Open

2016-06-16 · Oakmont Country Club

Winner
Dustin Johnson
Winning score
-4
Field
156
Field strength
+0.447 SG

The 2015-2016 U.S. Open was played at Oakmont Country Club, starting 16 June 2016. Dustin Johnson won at 4 under par (276), 3 strokes ahead of Jim Furyk. The winning card was 67, 69, 71 and 69, and the win paid $1,800,000. Jim Furyk, Scott Piercy and Shane Lowry tied for second. 156 players started the event. The field averaged +0.447 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 51% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 156. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 67 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Bgrade
Rank correlation
+0.391
Top-20 hit rate
55%
Top-10 avg model rank
16.5

Grade is this event’s percentile (71st) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Jordan Spieth1st37th
Jason Day2nd8th
Bubba Watson3rd51st
Dustin Johnson4th1st
Brooks Koepka5th13th
Matt Kuchar6th46th
Adam Scott7th18th
Jim Furyk8th2nd
Sergio Garcia9th5th
Daniel Berger10th37th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Andrew Landry65th15th(−50)
Bubba Watson3rd51st(+48)
Yusaku Miyazato67th23rd(−44)
Sung Kang59th18th(−41)
Matt Kuchar6th46th(+40)
Grégory Bourdy55th18th(−37)
Derek Fathauer60th23rd(−37)
Jordan Spieth1st37th(+36)
Scott Piercy38th2nd(−36)
Bill Haas16th51st(+35)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Oakmont Country Club in Oakmont, Pennsylvania, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the U.S. Open in 2015-2016?

Dustin Johnson won the 2015-2016 U.S. Open at Oakmont Country Club, finishing 4 under par.

Where was the 2015-2016 U.S. Open played?

The 2015-2016 U.S. Open was played at Oakmont Country Club, starting 16 June 2016.

What was the winning score at the 2015-2016 U.S. Open?

The winning score was 4 under par (276 strokes), posted by Dustin Johnson.

How many players were in the U.S. Open field?

156 players started the 2015-2016 U.S. Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.