OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2025

TOUR Championship

2025-08-21 · East Lake Golf Club

Winner
Tommy Fleetwood
Winning score
-18
Field
30
Field strength
+0.873 SG

The 2025 TOUR Championship was played at East Lake Golf Club, starting 21 August 2025. Tommy Fleetwood won at 18 under par (262), 3 strokes ahead of Patrick Cantlay. The winning card was 64, 63, 67 and 68, and the win paid $10,000,000. Patrick Cantlay and Russell Henley tied for second. 30 players started the event. The field averaged +0.873 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 30. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 30 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.292
Top-15 hit rate
53%
Top-10 avg model rank
10.6

Grade is this event’s percentile (40th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Scottie Scheffler1st4th
Rory McIlroy2nd23rd
Tommy Fleetwood3rd1st
Russell Henley4th2nd
Ludvig Åberg5th21st
Justin Thomas6th7th
Hideki Matsuyama7th29th
Collin Morikawa8th19th
Viktor Hovland9th12th
Patrick Cantlay10th2nd

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Hideki Matsuyama7th29th(+22)
Rory McIlroy2nd23rd(+21)
Chris Gotterup30th10th(−20)
Cameron Young23rd4th(−19)
Sepp Straka13th30th(+17)
Ludvig Åberg5th21st(+16)
Corey Conners16th4th(−12)
Brian Harman25th13th(−12)
Collin Morikawa8th19th(+11)
Keegan Bradley18th7th(−11)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta, Georgia, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the TOUR Championship in 2025?

Tommy Fleetwood won the 2025 TOUR Championship at East Lake Golf Club, finishing 18 under par.

Where was the 2025 TOUR Championship played?

The 2025 TOUR Championship was played at East Lake Golf Club, starting 21 August 2025.

What was the winning score at the 2025 TOUR Championship?

The winning score was 18 under par (262 strokes), posted by Tommy Fleetwood.

How many players were in the TOUR Championship field?

30 players started the 2025 TOUR Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.