OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2018-2019

The RSM Classic

2018-11-15 · Sea Island Golf Club (Seaside Course)

Winner
Charles Howell III
Winning score
-19
Field
153
Field strength
-0.079 SG

The 2018-2019 The RSM Classic was played at Sea Island Golf Club (Seaside Course), starting 15 November 2018. Charles Howell III won at 19 under par (263). The winning card was 64, 64, 68 and 67, and the win paid $1,152,000. Patrick Rodgers finished second, and Webb Simpson was third. 153 players started the event. The field averaged -0.079 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 75% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 153. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 77 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.331
Top-20 hit rate
50%
Top-10 avg model rank
19.4

Grade is this event’s percentile (54th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Webb Simpson1st3rd
Lucas Glover2nd11th
Zach Johnson3rd7th
Kevin Kisner4th7th
Charles Howell III5th1st
Luke List6th4th
Brian Gay7th23rd
Chris Kirk8th46th
Jamie Lovemark9th65th
Austin Cook10th11th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Jason Gore74th15th(−59)
Jamie Lovemark9th65th(+56)
Matt Every70th15th(−55)
Chase Wright61st7th(−54)
Joaquin Niemann12th65th(+53)
Hudson Swafford29th76th(+47)
Kyle Jones69th23rd(−46)
Dominic Bozzelli56th11th(−45)
Ryan Blaum47th4th(−43)
Chris Kirk8th46th(+38)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Sea Island Golf Club (Seaside Course) in St. Simons Island, Georgia, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the The RSM Classic in 2018-2019?

Charles Howell III won the 2018-2019 The RSM Classic at Sea Island Golf Club (Seaside Course), finishing 19 under par.

Where was the 2018-2019 The RSM Classic played?

The 2018-2019 The RSM Classic was played at Sea Island Golf Club (Seaside Course), starting 15 November 2018.

What was the winning score at the 2018-2019 The RSM Classic?

The winning score was 19 under par (263 strokes), posted by Charles Howell III.

How many players were in the The RSM Classic field?

153 players started the 2018-2019 The RSM Classic. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.