OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2015-2016

The RSM Classic

2015-11-19 · Sea Island Golf Club (Seaside Course)

Winner
Kevin Kisner
Winning score
-22
Field
148
Field strength
-0.008 SG

The 2015-2016 The RSM Classic was played at Sea Island Golf Club (Seaside Course), starting 19 November 2015. Kevin Kisner won at 22 under par (260), 6 strokes ahead of Kevin Chappell. The winning card was 65, 67, 64 and 64, and the win paid $1,026,000. Kevin Chappell finished second, and Graeme McDowell was third. 148 players started the event. The field averaged -0.008 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 76% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 148. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 83 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.378
Top-20 hit rate
40%
Top-10 avg model rank
21.2

Grade is this event’s percentile (67th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Matt Kuchar1st25th
Zach Johnson2nd75th
Bill Haas3rd33rd
Graeme McDowell4th3rd
Robert Streb5th25th
Kevin Chappell6th2nd
Harris English7th25th
Brendon Todd8th83rd
Kevin Kisner9th1st
Brendon de Jonge10th33rd

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Brendon Todd8th83rd(+75)
Zach Johnson2nd75th(+73)
Lucas Glover68th9th(−59)
Camilo Villegas20th75th(+55)
Scott Stallings64th9th(−55)
Mark Hubbard72nd18th(−54)
Trey Mullinax78th25th(−53)
Justin Thomas12th58th(+46)
Stewart Cink17th63rd(+46)
Brett Stegmaier27th73rd(+46)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Sea Island Golf Club (Seaside Course) in St. Simons Island, Georgia, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the The RSM Classic in 2015-2016?

Kevin Kisner won the 2015-2016 The RSM Classic at Sea Island Golf Club (Seaside Course), finishing 22 under par.

Where was the 2015-2016 The RSM Classic played?

The 2015-2016 The RSM Classic was played at Sea Island Golf Club (Seaside Course), starting 19 November 2015.

What was the winning score at the 2015-2016 The RSM Classic?

The winning score was 22 under par (260 strokes), posted by Kevin Kisner.

How many players were in the The RSM Classic field?

148 players started the 2015-2016 The RSM Classic. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.