OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2020-2021

THE PLAYERS Championship

2021-03-11 · TPC Sawgrass - THE PLAYERS Stadium Course

Winner
Justin Thomas
Winning score
-14
Field
154
Field strength
+0.332 SG

The 2020-2021 THE PLAYERS Championship was played at TPC Sawgrass - THE PLAYERS Stadium Course, starting 11 March 2021. Justin Thomas won at 14 under par (274), 1 stroke ahead of Lee Westwood. The winning card was 71, 71, 64 and 68, and the win paid $2,700,000. Lee Westwood finished second, and Brian Harman and Bryson DeChambeau tied for third. 154 players started the event. The field averaged +0.332 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 94% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 154. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 71 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Bgrade
Rank correlation
+0.463
Top-20 hit rate
50%
Top-10 avg model rank
16.0

Grade is this event’s percentile (88th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Justin Thomas1st1st
Dustin Johnson2nd48th
Bryson DeChambeau3rd3rd
Abraham Ancer4th22nd
Jon Rahm5th9th
Patrick Reed6th22nd
Collin Morikawa7th41st
Daniel Berger8th9th
Paul Casey9th5th
Joaquin Niemann10th29th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Victor Perez69th9th(−60)
Tyler McCumber70th22nd(−48)
Dustin Johnson2nd48th(+46)
Billy Horschel16th58th(+42)
Charles Howell III48th9th(−39)
Si Woo Kim44th9th(−35)
Collin Morikawa7th41st(+34)
Adam Scott15th48th(+33)
Lee Westwood35th2nd(−33)
Harry Higgs62nd29th(−33)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at TPC Sawgrass - THE PLAYERS Stadium Course in Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the THE PLAYERS Championship in 2020-2021?

Justin Thomas won the 2020-2021 THE PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass - THE PLAYERS Stadium Course, finishing 14 under par.

Where was the 2020-2021 THE PLAYERS Championship played?

The 2020-2021 THE PLAYERS Championship was played at TPC Sawgrass - THE PLAYERS Stadium Course, starting 11 March 2021.

What was the winning score at the 2020-2021 THE PLAYERS Championship?

The winning score was 14 under par (274 strokes), posted by Justin Thomas.

How many players were in the THE PLAYERS Championship field?

154 players started the 2020-2021 THE PLAYERS Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.