OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2015-2016

THE PLAYERS Championship

2016-05-12 · TPC Sawgrass - THE PLAYERS Stadium Course

Winner
Jason Day
Winning score
-15
Field
144
Field strength
+0.289 SG

The 2015-2016 THE PLAYERS Championship was played at TPC Sawgrass - THE PLAYERS Stadium Course, starting 12 May 2016. Jason Day won at 15 under par (273), 4 strokes ahead of Kevin Chappell. The winning card was 63, 66, 73 and 71, and the win paid $1,890,000. Kevin Chappell finished second. 144 players started the event. The field averaged +0.289 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 90% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 144. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 76 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.296
Top-20 hit rate
40%
Top-10 avg model rank
25.8

Grade is this event’s percentile (41st) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Rory McIlroy1st12th
Hideki Matsuyama2nd7th
Jason Day3rd1st
Bubba Watson4th43rd
Justin Rose5th19th
Jim Furyk6th35th
Paul Casey7th23rd
Matt Kuchar8th3rd
Zach Johnson9th54th
Adam Scott10th12th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Ken Duke74th3rd(−71)
Jonas Blixt75th19th(−56)
Retief Goosen64th12th(−52)
Boo Weekley66th16th(−50)
J.J. Henry76th28th(−48)
Marc Leishman18th64th(+46)
Zach Johnson9th54th(+45)
Patton Kizzire31st76th(+45)
Alex Cejka53rd9th(−44)
Sergio Garcia11th54th(+43)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at TPC Sawgrass - THE PLAYERS Stadium Course in Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the THE PLAYERS Championship in 2015-2016?

Jason Day won the 2015-2016 THE PLAYERS Championship at TPC Sawgrass - THE PLAYERS Stadium Course, finishing 15 under par.

Where was the 2015-2016 THE PLAYERS Championship played?

The 2015-2016 THE PLAYERS Championship was played at TPC Sawgrass - THE PLAYERS Stadium Course, starting 12 May 2016.

What was the winning score at the 2015-2016 THE PLAYERS Championship?

The winning score was 15 under par (273 strokes), posted by Jason Day.

How many players were in the THE PLAYERS Championship field?

144 players started the 2015-2016 THE PLAYERS Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.