OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2026

The Open Championship

2026-07-16 · Royal Birkdale Golf Club

Winner
Ryan Fox
Winning score
-10
Field
151
Field strength
+0.488 SG

The 2026 The Open Championship was played at Royal Birkdale Golf Club, starting 16 July 2026. Ryan Fox won at 10 under par (270), 1 stroke ahead of Cameron Young. The winning card was 72, 68, 62 and 68, and the win paid $3,200,000. Cameron Young finished second, and Sam Burns was third. 151 players started the event. The field averaged +0.488 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 54% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 151. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 78 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.325
Top-20 hit rate
55%
Top-10 avg model rank
22.7

Grade is this event’s percentile (50th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Scottie Scheffler1st4th
Rory McIlroy2nd40th
Collin Morikawa3rd18th
Tommy Fleetwood4th4th
Russell Henley5th9th
Sam Burns6th3rd
Tyrrell Hatton7th69th
Si Woo Kim8th6th
Patrick Cantlay9th28th
Xander Schauffele10th18th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Lucas Herbert76th6th(−70)
Tyrrell Hatton7th69th(+62)
Casey Jarvis65th6th(−59)
Dan Brown75th18th(−57)
Keegan Bradley20th74th(+54)
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen59th9th(−50)
Marco Penge67th18th(−49)
Alex Fitzpatrick24th71st(+47)
Justin Thomas19th65th(+46)
Kazuma Kobori72nd28th(−44)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Royal Birkdale Golf Club in Southport, ENG. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the The Open Championship in 2026?

Ryan Fox won the 2026 The Open Championship at Royal Birkdale Golf Club, finishing 10 under par.

Where was the 2026 The Open Championship played?

The 2026 The Open Championship was played at Royal Birkdale Golf Club, starting 16 July 2026.

What was the winning score at the 2026 The Open Championship?

The winning score was 10 under par (270 strokes), posted by Ryan Fox.

How many players were in the The Open Championship field?

151 players started the 2026 The Open Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.