OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2013

The Open Championship

2013-07-18 · Muirfield

Winner
Phil Mickelson
Winning score
-3
Field
156
Field strength
+0.503 SG

The 2013 The Open Championship was played at Muirfield, starting 18 July 2013. Phil Mickelson won at 3 under par (281), 3 strokes ahead of Henrik Stenson. The winning card was 69, 74, 72 and 66, and the win paid $1,442,826. Henrik Stenson finished second, and Adam Scott, Ian Poulter and Lee Westwood tied for third. 156 players started the event. The field averaged +0.503 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 47% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 156. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 84 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.359
Top-20 hit rate
55%
Top-10 avg model rank
19.6

Grade is this event’s percentile (62nd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Tiger Woods1st6th
Matt Kuchar2nd15th
Sergio Garcia3rd21st
Brandt Snedeker4th11th
Webb Simpson5th64th
Adam Scott6th3rd
Jason Dufner7th26th
Lee Westwood8th3rd
Phil Mickelson9th1st
Charl Schwartzel10th15th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Danny Willett78th15th(−63)
Rafa Cabrera Bello83rd21st(−62)
Darren Clarke82nd21st(−61)
Graham DeLaet23rd83rd(+60)
Webb Simpson5th64th(+59)
Stephen Gallacher75th21st(−54)
Kevin Streelman27th79th(+52)
Graeme McDowell12th58th(+46)
Josh Teater36th82nd(+46)
Shane Lowry77th32nd(−45)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Muirfield in Muirfield, SCO. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the The Open Championship in 2013?

Phil Mickelson won the 2013 The Open Championship at Muirfield, finishing 3 under par.

Where was the 2013 The Open Championship played?

The 2013 The Open Championship was played at Muirfield, starting 18 July 2013.

What was the winning score at the 2013 The Open Championship?

The winning score was 3 under par (281 strokes), posted by Phil Mickelson.

How many players were in the The Open Championship field?

156 players started the 2013 The Open Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.