Tournaments / 2016-2017
THE NORTHERN TRUST
2017-08-24 · Glen Oaks Club
- Winner
- Dustin Johnson
- Winning score
- -13
- Field
- 120
- Field strength
- +0.441 SG
The 2016-2017 THE NORTHERN TRUST was played at Glen Oaks Club, starting 24 August 2017. Dustin Johnson won at 13 under par (267). The winning card was 65, 69, 67 and 66, and the win paid $1,575,000. Jordan Spieth finished second, and Jhonattan Vegas and Jon Rahm tied for third. 120 players started the event. The field averaged +0.441 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 98% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.
Final leaderboard
Top 20 of 120. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.
- Dustin Johnson
- Pos
- P1
- R1
- 65
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 66
- Total
- 267
- Jordan Spieth
- Pos
- P2
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 65
- R3
- 64
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 267
- Jhonattan Vegas
- Pos
- T3
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 65
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 65
- Total
- 271
- Jon Rahm
- Pos
- T3
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 271
- Paul Casey
- Pos
- 5
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 66
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 274
- Jason Day
- Pos
- T6
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 275
- Justin Thomas
- Pos
- T6
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 275
- Kevin Chappell
- Pos
- T6
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 73
- R3
- 64
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 275
- Webb Simpson
- Pos
- T6
- R1
- 73
- R2
- 66
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 65
- Total
- 275
- Bubba Watson
- Pos
- T10
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 276
- Chez Reavie
- Pos
- T10
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 276
- Justin Rose
- Pos
- T10
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 276
- Louis Oosthuizen
- Pos
- T10
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 276
- Matt Kuchar
- Pos
- T10
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 64
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 73
- Total
- 276
- Patrick Cantlay
- Pos
- T10
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 276
- Robert Streb
- Pos
- T10
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 66
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 276
- Charley Hoffman
- Pos
- T17
- R1
- 72
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 65
- Total
- 277
- Henrik Stenson
- Pos
- T17
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 277
- Xander Schauffele
- Pos
- T17
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 66
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 277
- Harold Varner III
- Pos
- T20
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 278
Model score
Backtest · reconstructedOur course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 70 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.
- Rank correlation
- +0.564
- Top-20 hit rate
- 65%
- Top-10 avg model rank
- 14.0
Grade is this event’s percentile (98th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.
Who the model liked
Its top 10, and where they finished.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Rory McIlroy | 1st | 34th |
| Henrik Stenson | 2nd | 17th |
| Jordan Spieth | 3rd | 2nd |
| Rickie Fowler | 4th | 20th |
| Dustin Johnson | 5th | 1st |
| Paul Casey | 6th | 5th |
| Jason Day | 7th | 6th |
| Brooks Koepka | 8th | 49th |
| Matt Kuchar | 9th | 10th |
| Justin Thomas | 10th | 6th |
Where it was most wrong
Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Phil Mickelson | 12th | 54th(+42) |
| Brooks Koepka | 8th | 49th(+41) |
| Jhonattan Vegas | 43rd | 3rd(−40) |
| Robert Streb | 48th | 10th(−38) |
| Ian Poulter | 29th | 66th(+37) |
| Rory McIlroy | 1st | 34th(+33) |
| Kevin Kisner | 21st | 54th(+33) |
| Whee Kim | 67th | 34th(−33) |
| Tony Finau | 23rd | 54th(+31) |
| Scott Brown | 55th | 25th(−30) |
One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.
This event in the model
OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.
This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works
The venue
This event was played at Glen Oaks Club in Old Westbury, New York, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.
Common questions
Who won the THE NORTHERN TRUST in 2016-2017?
Where was the 2016-2017 THE NORTHERN TRUST played?
What was the winning score at the 2016-2017 THE NORTHERN TRUST?
How many players were in the THE NORTHERN TRUST field?
Where these numbers come from
Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.