OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2013

The Honda Classic

2013-02-28 · PGA National Resort (The Champion)

Winner
Michael Thompson
Winning score
-9
Field
141
Field strength
+0.063 SG

The 2013 The Honda Classic was played at PGA National Resort (The Champion), starting 28 February 2013. Michael Thompson won at 9 under par (271), 2 strokes ahead of Geoff Ogilvy. The winning card was 67, 65, 70 and 69, and the win paid $1,080,000. Geoff Ogilvy finished second, and Luke Guthrie was third. 141 players started the event. The field averaged +0.063 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 88% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 141. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 73 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Fgrade
Rank correlation
+0.072
Top-20 hit rate
30%
Top-10 avg model rank
32.8

Grade is this event’s percentile (3rd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Tiger Woods1st37th
Justin Rose2nd4th
Jason Dufner3rd51st
Lee Westwood4th9th
Charl Schwartzel5th9th
Keegan Bradley6th4th
Dustin Johnson7th46th
Graeme McDowell8th9th
Rickie Fowler9th13th
Ernie Els10th46th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Lucas Glover70th4th(−66)
Michael Thompson64th1st(−63)
David Lynn61st4th(−57)
Erik Compton60th4th(−56)
Darron Stiles66th13th(−53)
Robert Streb71st18th(−53)
Jason Dufner3rd51st(+48)
Kevin Stadler12th58th(+46)
Chris Stroud59th13th(−46)
Kyle Stanley62nd18th(−44)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at PGA National Resort (The Champion) in Palm Beach Gardens, Florida, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the The Honda Classic in 2013?

Michael Thompson won the 2013 The Honda Classic at PGA National Resort (The Champion), finishing 9 under par.

Where was the 2013 The Honda Classic played?

The 2013 The Honda Classic was played at PGA National Resort (The Champion), starting 28 February 2013.

What was the winning score at the 2013 The Honda Classic?

The winning score was 9 under par (271 strokes), posted by Michael Thompson.

How many players were in the The Honda Classic field?

141 players started the 2013 The Honda Classic. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.