Tournaments / 2014-2015

The Barclays

2015-08-27 · Plainfield CC

Winner: Jason Day
Winning score: -19
Field: 120
Field strength: +0.442 SG

The 2014-2015 The Barclays was played at Plainfield CC, starting 27 August 2015. Jason Day won at 19 under par (261), 6 strokes ahead of Henrik Stenson. The winning card was 68, 68, 63 and 62, and the win paid $1,485,000. Henrik Stenson finished second, and Bubba Watson was third. 120 players started the event. The field averaged +0.442 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 99% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 120. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.


1	Jason Day	68	68	63	62	261	-19
2	Henrik Stenson	68	66	67	66	267	-13
3	Bubba Watson	65	68	67	69	269	-11
T4	Zac Blair	69	68	67	66	270	-10
T4	Zach Johnson	69	65	67	69	270	-10
T6	Daniel Summerhays	67	70	68	66	271	-9
T6	Ryan Palmer	69	67	65	70	271	-9
T6	Sangmoon Bae	69	67	63	72	271	-9
T9	Dustin Johnson	70	70	67	65	272	-8
T9	Jason Bohn	71	64	72	65	272	-8
T11	Bryce Molder	66	71	67	69	273	-7
T11	Jim Furyk	68	69	69	67	273	-7
T13	Hideki Matsuyama	69	69	67	69	274	-6
T13	Jim Herman	69	69	69	67	274	-6
T13	Steven Bowditch	71	67	72	64	274	-6
T16	Justin Rose	77	65	63	70	275	-5
T16	Justin Thomas	71	69	68	67	275	-5
T16	Spencer Levin	65	71	67	72	275	-5
T16	Tony Finau	65	69	71	70	275	-5
T20	Kevin Kisner	67	71	65	73	276	-4

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 72 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade

Rank correlation: +0.319
Top-20 hit rate: 50%
Top-10 avg model rank: 23.7

Grade is this event’s percentile (48th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

Player	Model	Finish
Justin Rose	1st	16th
Jim Furyk	2nd	11th
Jason Day	3rd	1st
Matt Kuchar	4th	39th
Bubba Watson	5th	3rd
Hideki Matsuyama	6th	13th
Zach Johnson	7th	4th
Dustin Johnson	8th	9th
Henrik Stenson	9th	2nd
Kevin Na	10th	20th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

Player	Model	Finish
Zac Blair	63rd	4th(−59)
Jimmy Walker	11th	69th(+58)
Sangmoon Bae	56th	6th(−50)
Spencer Levin	62nd	16th(−46)
Mark Wilson	70th	24th(−46)
Patrick Reed	17th	62nd(+45)
Bill Haas	12th	53rd(+41)
Jim Herman	54th	13th(−41)
Carlos Ortiz	65th	24th(−41)
Russell Henley	32nd	72nd(+40)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's model Probabilities and the track record How the model works

The venue

This event was played at Plainfield CC in Edison, New Jersey, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the The Barclays in 2014-2015?

Jason Day won the 2014-2015 The Barclays at Plainfield CC, finishing 19 under par.

Where was the 2014-2015 The Barclays played?

The 2014-2015 The Barclays was played at Plainfield CC, starting 27 August 2015.

What was the winning score at the 2014-2015 The Barclays?

The winning score was 19 under par (261 strokes), posted by Jason Day.

How many players were in the The Barclays field?

120 players started the 2014-2015 The Barclays. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.