OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2015-2016

Shriners Hospitals for Children Open

2015-10-22 · TPC Summerlin

Winner
Smylie Kaufman
Winning score
-16
Field
142
Field strength
-0.032 SG

The 2015-2016 Shriners Hospitals for Children Open was played at TPC Summerlin, starting 22 October 2015. Smylie Kaufman won at 16 under par (268), 1 stroke ahead of Alex Cejka. The winning card was 67, 72, 68 and 61, and the win paid $1,152,000. Alex Cejka, Brett Stegmaier, Cameron Tringale, Jason Bohn, Kevin Na and Patton Kizzire tied for second. 142 players started the event. The field averaged -0.032 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 87% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 142. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 80 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Fgrade
Rank correlation
+0.192
Top-20 hit rate
40%
Top-10 avg model rank
35.0

Grade is this event’s percentile (14th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Kevin Na1st2nd
Ryan Moore2nd43rd
Rickie Fowler3rd25th
Russell Knox4th38th
Webb Simpson5th56th
Jimmy Walker6th50th
Ryan Palmer7th16th
Jason Bohn8th2nd
Kevin Chappell9th62nd
Tony Finau10th16th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Patton Kizzire79th2nd(−77)
Brett Stegmaier75th2nd(−73)
Scott Stallings71st16th(−55)
Kevin Chappell9th62nd(+53)
Charles Howell III17th70th(+53)
Michael Kim69th16th(−53)
Steven Bowditch28th80th(+52)
Nick Taylor77th25th(−52)
Webb Simpson5th56th(+51)
Smylie Kaufman51st1st(−50)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at TPC Summerlin in Las Vegas, Nevada, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open in 2015-2016?

Smylie Kaufman won the 2015-2016 Shriners Hospitals for Children Open at TPC Summerlin, finishing 16 under par.

Where was the 2015-2016 Shriners Hospitals for Children Open played?

The 2015-2016 Shriners Hospitals for Children Open was played at TPC Summerlin, starting 22 October 2015.

What was the winning score at the 2015-2016 Shriners Hospitals for Children Open?

The winning score was 16 under par (268 strokes), posted by Smylie Kaufman.

How many players were in the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open field?

142 players started the 2015-2016 Shriners Hospitals for Children Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.