Tournaments / 2016-2017
Shell Houston Open
2017-03-30 · GC of Houston
- Winner
- Russell Henley
- Winning score
- -20
- Field
- 141
- Field strength
- +0.055 SG
The 2016-2017 Shell Houston Open was played at GC of Houston, starting 30 March 2017. Russell Henley won at 20 under par (268), 3 strokes ahead of Sung Kang. The winning card was 67, 67, 69 and 65, and the win paid $1,260,000. Sung Kang finished second, and Luke List and Rickie Fowler tied for third. 141 players started the event. The field averaged +0.055 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 84% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.
Final leaderboard
Top 20 of 141. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.
- Russell Henley
- Pos
- 1
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 65
- Total
- 268
- Sung Kang
- Pos
- 2
- R1
- 65
- R2
- 63
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 271
- Luke List
- Pos
- T3
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 65
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 272
- Rickie Fowler
- Pos
- T3
- R1
- 64
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 272
- Daniel Berger
- Pos
- 5
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 275
- Hudson Swafford
- Pos
- 6
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 75
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 276
- Rafael Campos
- Pos
- 7
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 277
- Kyle Stanley
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 66
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 278
- Zac Blair
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 75
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 278
- Andrew Loupe
- Pos
- T10
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 279
- Jon Rahm
- Pos
- T10
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 279
- Jason Dufner
- Pos
- T12
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 280
- Michael Kim
- Pos
- T12
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 280
- Michael Thompson
- Pos
- T12
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 73
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 280
- Aaron Baddeley
- Pos
- T15
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 281
- Andy Sullivan
- Pos
- T15
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 76
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 281
- Jhonattan Vegas
- Pos
- T15
- R1
- 66
- R2
- 74
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 281
- Justin Rose
- Pos
- T15
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 281
- Keegan Bradley
- Pos
- T15
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 76
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 281
- Danny Lee
- Pos
- T20
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 282
Model score
Backtest · reconstructedOur course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 80 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.
- Rank correlation
- +0.337
- Top-20 hit rate
- 50%
- Top-10 avg model rank
- 20.1
Grade is this event’s percentile (56th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.
Who the model liked
Its top 10, and where they finished.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Rickie Fowler | 1st | 3rd |
| Phil Mickelson | 2nd | 55th |
| Daniel Berger | 3rd | 5th |
| Justin Rose | 4th | 15th |
| Russell Henley | 5th | 1st |
| Jason Dufner | 6th | 12th |
| Billy Horschel | 7th | 55th |
| Charles Howell III | 8th | 39th |
| Keegan Bradley | 9th | 15th |
| Jon Rahm | 10th | 10th |
Where it was most wrong
Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Loupe | 78th | 10th(−68) |
| Jimmy Walker | 16th | 71st(+55) |
| Luke Donald | 15th | 69th(+54) |
| Phil Mickelson | 2nd | 55th(+53) |
| Jamie Lovemark | 21st | 71st(+50) |
| Zac Blair | 58th | 8th(−50) |
| Sam Saunders | 70th | 20th(−50) |
| Michael Thompson | 61st | 12th(−49) |
| Andres Gonzales | 72nd | 23rd(−49) |
| Billy Horschel | 7th | 55th(+48) |
One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.
This event in the model
OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.
This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works
The venue
This event was played at GC of Houston in Humble, Texas, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.
Common questions
Who won the Shell Houston Open in 2016-2017?
Where was the 2016-2017 Shell Houston Open played?
What was the winning score at the 2016-2017 Shell Houston Open?
How many players were in the Shell Houston Open field?
Where these numbers come from
Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.