Tournaments / 2014-2015
Shell Houston Open
2015-04-02 · GC of Houston
- Winner
- J.B. Holmes
- Winning score
- -16
- Field
- 141
- Field strength
- +0.066 SG
The 2014-2015 Shell Houston Open was played at GC of Houston, starting 2 April 2015. J.B. Holmes won at 16 under par (272). The winning card was 65, 70, 73 and 64, and the win paid $1,188,000. Johnson Wagner and Jordan Spieth tied for second. 141 players started the event. The field averaged +0.066 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 89% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.
Final leaderboard
Top 20 of 141. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.
- J.B. Holmes
- Pos
- P1
- R1
- 65
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 64
- Total
- 272
- Johnson Wagner
- Pos
- PT2
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 66
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 272
- Jordan Spieth
- Pos
- PT2
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 66
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 272
- Russell Henley
- Pos
- 4
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 274
- Brendon de Jonge
- Pos
- T5
- R1
- 73
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 275
- Cameron Tringale
- Pos
- T5
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 275
- Charles Howell III
- Pos
- T5
- R1
- 66
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 275
- Keegan Bradley
- Pos
- T5
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 66
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 275
- Paul Casey
- Pos
- 9
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 276
- Scott Piercy
- Pos
- 10
- R1
- 63
- R2
- 74
- R3
- 66
- R4
- 74
- Total
- 277
- Alex Cejka
- Pos
- T11
- R1
- 65
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 278
- Austin Cook
- Pos
- T11
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 65
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 75
- Total
- 278
- Chad Collins
- Pos
- T11
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 278
- Charley Hoffman
- Pos
- T11
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 74
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 278
- Kyle Reifers
- Pos
- T11
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 278
- Pat Perez
- Pos
- T11
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 278
- Charlie Beljan
- Pos
- T17
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 279
- Chris Stroud
- Pos
- T17
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 74
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 279
- Jason Bohn
- Pos
- T17
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 279
- John Huh
- Pos
- T17
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 279
Model score
Backtest · reconstructedOur course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 70 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.
- Rank correlation
- +0.260
- Top-20 hit rate
- 35%
- Top-10 avg model rank
- 23.5
Grade is this event’s percentile (29th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.
Who the model liked
Its top 10, and where they finished.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Sergio Garcia | 1st | 37th |
| Matt Kuchar | 2nd | 70th |
| Justin Rose | 3rd | 37th |
| Rickie Fowler | 4th | 71st |
| Keegan Bradley | 5th | 5th |
| Phil Mickelson | 6th | 17th |
| Jordan Spieth | 7th | 2nd |
| Ryan Moore | 8th | 57th |
| Graham DeLaet | 9th | 42nd |
| Charl Schwartzel | 10th | 42nd |
Where it was most wrong
Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Kuchar | 2nd | 70th(+68) |
| Rickie Fowler | 4th | 71st(+67) |
| Johnson Wagner | 67th | 2nd(−65) |
| Ryan Moore | 8th | 57th(+49) |
| Charlie Beljan | 66th | 17th(−49) |
| Andrew Putnam | 68th | 25th(−43) |
| Francesco Molinari | 20th | 57th(+37) |
| Mark Wilson | 62nd | 25th(−37) |
| Sergio Garcia | 1st | 37th(+36) |
| Whee Kim | 60th | 25th(−35) |
One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.
This event in the model
OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.
This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works
The venue
This event was played at GC of Houston in Humble, Texas, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.
Common questions
Who won the Shell Houston Open in 2014-2015?
Where was the 2014-2015 Shell Houston Open played?
What was the winning score at the 2014-2015 Shell Houston Open?
How many players were in the Shell Houston Open field?
Where these numbers come from
Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.