Tournaments / 2018-2019

Safeway Open

2018-10-04 · Silverado Resort (North Course)

Winner: Kevin Tway
Winning score: -14
Field: 142
Field strength: -0.055 SG

The 2018-2019 Safeway Open was played at Silverado Resort (North Course), starting 4 October 2018. Kevin Tway won at 14 under par (274). The winning card was 68, 67, 68 and 71, and the win paid $1,152,000. Brandt Snedeker and Ryan Moore tied for second. 142 players started the event. The field averaged -0.055 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 83% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 142. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.


P1	Kevin Tway	68	67	68	71	274	-14
PT2	Brandt Snedeker	66	65	69	74	274	-14
PT2	Ryan Moore	67	67	73	67	274	-14
T4	Aaron Baddeley	70	67	69	69	275	-13
T4	Luke List	70	69	69	67	275	-13
T4	Sam Ryder	69	70	67	69	275	-13
T4	Sungjae Im	66	69	69	71	275	-13
T4	Troy Merritt	67	70	70	68	275	-13
9	J.B. Holmes	70	70	69	68	277	-11
T10	Bill Haas	70	68	67	73	278	-10
T10	Chase Wright	64	72	70	72	278	-10
T10	Danny Lee	69	68	72	69	278	-10
T10	Jim Knous	73	67	69	69	278	-10
T14	Adam Schenk	67	69	70	73	279	-9
T14	Harold Varner III	70	69	68	72	279	-9
T14	Julián Etulain	68	69	72	70	279	-9
T17	Cam Davis	70	70	72	68	280	-8
T17	Hunter Mahan	70	68	70	72	280	-8
T17	Lucas Glover	69	70	69	72	280	-8
T17	Michael Thompson	69	65	75	71	280	-8

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 86 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade

Rank correlation: +0.317
Top-20 hit rate: 45%
Top-10 avg model rank: 18.6

Grade is this event’s percentile (47th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

Player	Model	Finish
Ryan Moore	1st	2nd
Phil Mickelson	2nd	17th
Emiliano Grillo	3rd	41st
Chez Reavie	4th	33rd
Lucas Glover	5th	17th
Patrick Cantlay	6th	17th
Brandt Snedeker	7th	2nd
Kevin Streelman	8th	25th
Luke List	9th	4th
Martin Laird	10th	46th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

Player	Model	Finish
Joaquin Niemann	12th	83rd(+71)
Adam Schenk	80th	14th(−66)
James Hahn	18th	78th(+60)
Julián Etulain	74th	14th(−60)
Brett Drewitt	84th	25th(−59)
Vaughn Taylor	20th	78th(+58)
Chase Wright	68th	10th(−58)
Cameron Champ	83rd	25th(−58)
Wyndham Clark	86th	33rd(−53)
Brandon Harkins	25th	74th(+49)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's model Probabilities and the track record How the model works

The venue

This event was played at Silverado Resort (North Course) in Napa, California, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Safeway Open in 2018-2019?

Kevin Tway won the 2018-2019 Safeway Open at Silverado Resort (North Course), finishing 14 under par.

Where was the 2018-2019 Safeway Open played?

The 2018-2019 Safeway Open was played at Silverado Resort (North Course), starting 4 October 2018.

What was the winning score at the 2018-2019 Safeway Open?

The winning score was 14 under par (274 strokes), posted by Kevin Tway.

How many players were in the Safeway Open field?

142 players started the 2018-2019 Safeway Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.