Tournaments / 2016-2017
Safeway Open
2016-10-13 · Silverado Resort (North Course)
- Winner
- Brendan Steele
- Winning score
- -18
- Field
- 142
- Field strength
- +0.008 SG
The 2016-2017 Safeway Open was played at Silverado Resort (North Course), starting 13 October 2016. Brendan Steele won at 18 under par (270), 1 stroke ahead of Patton Kizzire. The winning card was 67, 71, 67 and 65, and the win paid $1,080,000. Patton Kizzire finished second. 142 players started the event. The field averaged +0.008 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 87% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.
Final leaderboard
Top 20 of 142. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.
- Brendan Steele
- Pos
- 1
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 65
- Total
- 270
- Patton Kizzire
- Pos
- 2
- R1
- 64
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 66
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 271
- Johnson Wagner
- Pos
- T3
- R1
- 65
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 272
- Michael Kim
- Pos
- T3
- R1
- 73
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 65
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 272
- Paul Casey
- Pos
- T3
- R1
- 64
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 272
- Scott Piercy
- Pos
- T3
- R1
- 62
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 272
- Kevin Na
- Pos
- 7
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 66
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 66
- Total
- 273
- Chris Kirk
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 73
- R2
- 65
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 66
- Total
- 274
- Cody Gribble
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 274
- Justin Thomas
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 75
- R2
- 66
- R3
- 66
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 274
- Martin Laird
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 274
- Phil Mickelson
- Pos
- T8
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 274
- Mackenzie Hughes
- Pos
- T13
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 275
- Whee Kim
- Pos
- T13
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 66
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 275
- Derek Fathauer
- Pos
- T15
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 74
- R4
- 66
- Total
- 276
- Harold Varner III
- Pos
- T15
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 65
- Total
- 276
- Jon Rahm
- Pos
- T15
- R1
- 66
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 276
- Troy Merritt
- Pos
- T15
- R1
- 66
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 74
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 276
- Vaughn Taylor
- Pos
- T15
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 74
- R4
- 65
- Total
- 276
- Bill Haas
- Pos
- T20
- R1
- 66
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 277
Model score
Backtest · reconstructedOur course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 70 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.
- Rank correlation
- +0.433
- Top-20 hit rate
- 45%
- Top-10 avg model rank
- 14.9
Grade is this event’s percentile (82nd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.
Who the model liked
Its top 10, and where they finished.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Casey | 1st | 3rd |
| Justin Thomas | 2nd | 8th |
| Kevin Na | 3rd | 7th |
| Bill Haas | 4th | 20th |
| Phil Mickelson | 5th | 8th |
| Emiliano Grillo | 6th | 26th |
| Brendan Steele | 7th | 1st |
| Harris English | 8th | 35th |
| Jon Rahm | 9th | 15th |
| Keegan Bradley | 10th | 22nd |
Where it was most wrong
Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Cody Gribble | 61st | 8th(−53) |
| Michael Kim | 48th | 3rd(−45) |
| Hudson Swafford | 19th | 62nd(+43) |
| Trey Mullinax | 64th | 22nd(−42) |
| Chad Campbell | 16th | 57th(+41) |
| Troy Merritt | 56th | 15th(−41) |
| Mackenzie Hughes | 52nd | 13th(−39) |
| Danny Lee | 14th | 50th(+36) |
| Aaron Baddeley | 31st | 67th(+36) |
| Patton Kizzire | 37th | 2nd(−35) |
One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.
This event in the model
OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.
This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works
The venue
This event was played at Silverado Resort (North Course) in Napa, California, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.
Common questions
Who won the Safeway Open in 2016-2017?
Where was the 2016-2017 Safeway Open played?
What was the winning score at the 2016-2017 Safeway Open?
How many players were in the Safeway Open field?
Where these numbers come from
Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.