OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2018-2019

Puerto Rico Open

2019-02-21 · Grand Reserve Golf Club

Winner
Martin Trainer
Winning score
-15
Field
111
Field strength
-0.217 SG

The 2018-2019 Puerto Rico Open was played at Grand Reserve Golf Club, starting 21 February 2019. Martin Trainer won at 15 under par (273), 3 strokes ahead of Aaron Baddeley. The winning card was 70, 67, 69 and 67, and the win paid $540,000. Aaron Baddeley, Daniel Berger, Johnson Wagner and Roger Sloan tied for second. 111 players started the event. The field averaged -0.217 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 45% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 111. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 71 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.229
Top-20 hit rate
50%
Top-10 avg model rank
19.9

Grade is this event’s percentile (23rd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Daniel Berger1st2nd
Nate Lashley2nd8th
Graeme McDowell3rd42nd
Peter Uihlein4th66th
Julián Etulain5th35th
Aaron Baddeley6th2nd
Johnson Wagner7th2nd
Roberto Castro8th25th
D.J. Trahan9th16th
Tom Hoge10th55th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Peter Uihlein4th66th(+62)
Joey Garber70th10th(−60)
Wes Roach23rd75th(+52)
John Chin69th21st(−48)
Austen Truslow55th10th(−45)
Tom Hoge10th55th(+45)
Sepp Straka59th16th(−43)
Matt Jones13th55th(+42)
Martin Trainer43rd1st(−42)
Roberto Díaz52nd10th(−42)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Grand Reserve Golf Club in Rio Grande, PUR. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Puerto Rico Open in 2018-2019?

Martin Trainer won the 2018-2019 Puerto Rico Open at Grand Reserve Golf Club, finishing 15 under par.

Where was the 2018-2019 Puerto Rico Open played?

The 2018-2019 Puerto Rico Open was played at Grand Reserve Golf Club, starting 21 February 2019.

What was the winning score at the 2018-2019 Puerto Rico Open?

The winning score was 15 under par (273 strokes), posted by Martin Trainer.

How many players were in the Puerto Rico Open field?

111 players started the 2018-2019 Puerto Rico Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.