OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2026

PGA Championship

2026-05-14 · Aronimink Golf Club

Winner
Aaron Rai
Winning score
-9
Field
156
Field strength
+0.293 SG

The 2026 PGA Championship was played at Aronimink Golf Club, starting 14 May 2026. Aaron Rai won at 9 under par (271), 3 strokes ahead of Alex Smalley. The winning card was 70, 69, 67 and 65, and the win paid $3,690,000. Alex Smalley and Jon Rahm tied for second. 156 players started the event. The field averaged +0.293 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 66% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 156. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 82 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Bgrade
Rank correlation
+0.442
Top-20 hit rate
50%
Top-10 avg model rank
26.6

Grade is this event’s percentile (84th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Scottie Scheffler1st14th
Rory McIlroy2nd7th
Xander Schauffele3rd7th
Collin Morikawa4th55th
Ludvig Åberg5th4th
Cameron Young6th26th
Patrick Cantlay7th35th
Hideki Matsuyama8th26th
Jon Rahm9th2nd
Si Woo Kim10th35th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Cameron Smith76th7th(−69)
Padraig Harrington82nd18th(−64)
Matti Schmid63rd4th(−59)
David Puig75th18th(−57)
Collin Morikawa4th55th(+51)
Daniel Hillier77th26th(−51)
Rickie Fowler13th60th(+47)
Tom Hoge71st26th(−45)
Stephan Jaeger61st18th(−43)
Ryan Gerard31st70th(+39)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Aronimink Golf Club in Newtown Square, Pennsylvania, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the PGA Championship in 2026?

Aaron Rai won the 2026 PGA Championship at Aronimink Golf Club, finishing 9 under par.

Where was the 2026 PGA Championship played?

The 2026 PGA Championship was played at Aronimink Golf Club, starting 14 May 2026.

What was the winning score at the 2026 PGA Championship?

The winning score was 9 under par (271 strokes), posted by Aaron Rai.

How many players were in the PGA Championship field?

156 players started the 2026 PGA Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.