OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2024

PGA Championship

2024-05-16 · Valhalla Golf Club

Winner
Xander Schauffele
Winning score
-21
Field
156
Field strength
+0.371 SG

The 2024 PGA Championship was played at Valhalla Golf Club, starting 16 May 2024. Xander Schauffele won at 21 under par (263), 1 stroke ahead of Bryson DeChambeau. The winning card was 62, 68, 68 and 65, and the win paid $3,330,000. Bryson DeChambeau finished second, and Viktor Hovland was third. 156 players started the event. The field averaged +0.371 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 62% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 156. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 78 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Bgrade
Rank correlation
+0.399
Top-20 hit rate
45%
Top-10 avg model rank
21.4

Grade is this event’s percentile (73rd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Scottie Scheffler1st8th
Rory McIlroy2nd12th
Patrick Cantlay3rd53rd
Xander Schauffele4th1st
Viktor Hovland5th3rd
Tyrrell Hatton6th63rd
Cameron Smith7th63rd
Collin Morikawa8th4th
Max Homa9th35th
Tommy Fleetwood10th26th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Robert MacIntyre71st8th(−63)
Tyrrell Hatton6th63rd(+57)
Cameron Smith7th63rd(+56)
Stephan Jaeger25th76th(+51)
Patrick Cantlay3rd53rd(+50)
Ben Kohles75th26th(−49)
Lee Hodges60th12th(−48)
Cameron Young20th63rd(+43)
Thomas Detry46th4th(−42)
Dean Burmester53rd12th(−41)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Valhalla Golf Club in Louisville, Kentucky, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the PGA Championship in 2024?

Xander Schauffele won the 2024 PGA Championship at Valhalla Golf Club, finishing 21 under par.

Where was the 2024 PGA Championship played?

The 2024 PGA Championship was played at Valhalla Golf Club, starting 16 May 2024.

What was the winning score at the 2024 PGA Championship?

The winning score was 21 under par (263 strokes), posted by Xander Schauffele.

How many players were in the PGA Championship field?

156 players started the 2024 PGA Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.