Tournaments / 2016-2017
PGA Championship
2017-08-10 · Quail Hollow Club
- Winner
- Justin Thomas
- Winning score
- -8
- Field
- 156
- Field strength
- +0.564 SG
The 2016-2017 PGA Championship was played at Quail Hollow Club, starting 10 August 2017. Justin Thomas won at 8 under par (276), 2 strokes ahead of Francesco Molinari. The winning card was 73, 66, 69 and 68, and the win paid $1,890,000. Francesco Molinari, Louis Oosthuizen and Patrick Reed tied for second. 156 players started the event. The field averaged +0.564 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 60% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.
Final leaderboard
Top 20 of 156. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.
- Justin Thomas
- Pos
- 1
- R1
- 73
- R2
- 66
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 276
- Francesco Molinari
- Pos
- T2
- R1
- 73
- R2
- 64
- R3
- 74
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 278
- Louis Oosthuizen
- Pos
- T2
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 278
- Patrick Reed
- Pos
- T2
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 73
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 278
- Hideki Matsuyama
- Pos
- T5
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 64
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 279
- Rickie Fowler
- Pos
- T5
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 279
- Graham DeLaet
- Pos
- T7
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 73
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 280
- Kevin Kisner
- Pos
- T7
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 74
- Total
- 280
- Chris Stroud
- Pos
- T9
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 76
- Total
- 283
- Jason Day
- Pos
- T9
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 66
- R3
- 77
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 283
- Jordan Smith
- Pos
- T9
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 75
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 283
- Matt Kuchar
- Pos
- T9
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 74
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 283
- Brian Harman
- Pos
- T13
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 75
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 284
- Brooks Koepka
- Pos
- T13
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 73
- R3
- 74
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 284
- Dustin Johnson
- Pos
- T13
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 74
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 284
- Henrik Stenson
- Pos
- T13
- R1
- 74
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 284
- James Hahn
- Pos
- T13
- R1
- 73
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 284
- Marc Leishman
- Pos
- T13
- R1
- 75
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 284
- Paul Casey
- Pos
- T13
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 74
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 284
- Ryan Moore
- Pos
- T13
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 284
Model score
Backtest · reconstructedOur course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 75 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.
- Rank correlation
- +0.411
- Top-20 hit rate
- 55%
- Top-10 avg model rank
- 16.6
Grade is this event’s percentile (76th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.
Who the model liked
Its top 10, and where they finished.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Rory McIlroy | 1st | 22nd |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 2nd | 5th |
| Adam Scott | 3rd | 61st |
| Rickie Fowler | 4th | 5th |
| Jordan Spieth | 5th | 28th |
| Dustin Johnson | 6th | 13th |
| Henrik Stenson | 7th | 13th |
| Paul Casey | 8th | 13th |
| Jason Day | 9th | 9th |
| Brooks Koepka | 10th | 13th |
Where it was most wrong
Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Scott | 3rd | 61st(+58) |
| Chris Stroud | 66th | 9th(−57) |
| Jordan Smith | 56th | 9th(−47) |
| Scott Brown | 60th | 13th(−47) |
| Richard Sterne | 74th | 28th(−46) |
| Jon Rahm | 15th | 58th(+43) |
| Charles Howell III | 31st | 73rd(+42) |
| Graham DeLaet | 48th | 7th(−41) |
| Jason Dufner | 18th | 58th(+40) |
| Grayson Murray | 62nd | 22nd(−40) |
One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.
This event in the model
OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.
This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works
The venue
This event was played at Quail Hollow Club in Charlotte, North Carolina, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.
Common questions
Who won the PGA Championship in 2016-2017?
Where was the 2016-2017 PGA Championship played?
What was the winning score at the 2016-2017 PGA Championship?
How many players were in the PGA Championship field?
Where these numbers come from
Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.