OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2020-2021

Olympic Men's Golf Competition

2021-07-29 · Kasumigaseki Country Club

Winner
Xander Schauffele
Winning score
-18
Field
52
Field strength
+0.655 SG

The 2020-2021 Olympic Men's Golf Competition was played at Kasumigaseki Country Club, starting 29 July 2021. Xander Schauffele won at 18 under par (266), 1 stroke ahead of Rory Sabbatini. The winning card was 68, 63, 68 and 67. Rory Sabbatini finished second, and C.T. Pan was third. 52 players started the event. The field averaged +0.655 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 54% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 52. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 52 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Agrade
Rank correlation
+0.590
Top-20 hit rate
65%
Top-10 avg model rank
15.2

Grade is this event’s percentile (99th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Xander Schauffele1st1st
Justin Thomas2nd22nd
Collin Morikawa3rd4th
Viktor Hovland4th14th
Rory McIlroy5th4th
Abraham Ancer6th14th
Patrick Reed7th22nd
Paul Casey8th4th
Hideki Matsuyama9th4th
Joaquin Niemann10th10th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Rory Sabbatini40th2nd(−38)
C.T. Pan32nd3rd(−29)
Mackenzie Hughes24th50th(+26)
Marc Leishman25th51st(+26)
Sami Valimaki52nd27th(−25)
Carlos Ortiz20th42nd(+22)
Garrick Higgo31st53rd(+22)
Justin Thomas2nd22nd(+20)
Jazz Janewattananond47th27th(−20)
Mito Pereira23rd4th(−19)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Kasumigaseki Country Club in Saitama, JPN. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Olympic Men's Golf Competition in 2020-2021?

Xander Schauffele won the 2020-2021 Olympic Men's Golf Competition at Kasumigaseki Country Club, finishing 18 under par.

Where was the 2020-2021 Olympic Men's Golf Competition played?

The 2020-2021 Olympic Men's Golf Competition was played at Kasumigaseki Country Club, starting 29 July 2021.

What was the winning score at the 2020-2021 Olympic Men's Golf Competition?

The winning score was 18 under par (266 strokes), posted by Xander Schauffele.

How many players were in the Olympic Men's Golf Competition field?

52 players started the 2020-2021 Olympic Men's Golf Competition. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.