Tournaments / 2014-2015

OHL Classic at Mayakoba

2014-11-13 · El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba

Winner: Charley Hoffman
Winning score: -17
Field: 123
Field strength: -0.096 SG

The 2014-2015 OHL Classic at Mayakoba was played at El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba, starting 13 November 2014. Charley Hoffman won at 17 under par (267), 1 stroke ahead of Shawn Stefani. The winning card was 66, 68, 67 and 66, and the win paid $1,098,000. Shawn Stefani finished second, and Andres Gonzales and Danny Lee tied for third. 123 players started the event. The field averaged -0.096 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 86% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 123. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.


1	Charley Hoffman	66	68	67	66	267	-17
2	Shawn Stefani	66	65	68	69	268	-16
T3	Andres Gonzales	69	67	66	67	269	-15
T3	Danny Lee	66	69	67	67	269	-15
5	Jerry Kelly	69	66	67	68	270	-14
6	Brice Garnett	66	68	71	66	271	-13
T7	Jason Bohn	66	65	67	74	272	-12
T7	Tony Finau	65	72	70	65	272	-12
T9	Blayne Barber	66	68	72	67	273	-11
T9	Carlos Ortiz	67	69	69	68	273	-11
T9	Ken Duke	69	63	70	71	273	-11
T9	Nicholas Thompson	68	65	71	69	273	-11
T9	Oscar Fraustro	68	67	69	69	273	-11
T9	Will MacKenzie	65	68	74	66	273	-11
T16	Alex Cejka	66	67	68	73	274	-10
T16	David Hearn	68	65	73	68	274	-10
T16	Jason Kokrak	66	69	72	67	274	-10
T16	John Peterson	69	67	70	68	274	-10
T16	Johnson Wagner	69	68	70	67	274	-10
T16	Ricky Barnes	69	69	71	65	274	-10

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 74 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Fgrade

Rank correlation: +0.088
Top-20 hit rate: 35%
Top-10 avg model rank: 25.8

Grade is this event’s percentile (3rd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

Player	Model	Finish
Russell Knox	1st	37th
Jerry Kelly	2nd	5th
Harris English	3rd	37th
Chris Stroud	4th	23rd
Daniel Summerhays	5th	29th
Brendan Steele	6th	37th
David Hearn	7th	16th
Charley Hoffman	8th	1st
Freddie Jacobson	9th	62nd
Tony Finau	10th	7th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

Player	Model	Finish
Oscar Fraustro	70th	9th(−61)
Brian Stuard	11th	71st(+60)
Erik Compton	17th	74th(+57)
Brice Garnett	63rd	6th(−57)
Andres Gonzales	59th	3rd(−56)
Johnson Wagner	72nd	16th(−56)
Alex Cejka	71st	16th(−55)
Freddie Jacobson	9th	62nd(+53)
Carlos Ortiz	60th	9th(−51)
Scott Langley	15th	65th(+50)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's model Probabilities and the track record How the model works

The venue

This event was played at El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba in Riviera Maya, MEX. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the OHL Classic at Mayakoba in 2014-2015?

Charley Hoffman won the 2014-2015 OHL Classic at Mayakoba at El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba, finishing 17 under par.

Where was the 2014-2015 OHL Classic at Mayakoba played?

The 2014-2015 OHL Classic at Mayakoba was played at El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba, starting 13 November 2014.

What was the winning score at the 2014-2015 OHL Classic at Mayakoba?

The winning score was 17 under par (267 strokes), posted by Charley Hoffman.

How many players were in the OHL Classic at Mayakoba field?

123 players started the 2014-2015 OHL Classic at Mayakoba. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.