OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2013-2014

Northern Trust Open

2014-02-13 · The Riviera Country Club

Winner
Bubba Watson
Winning score
-15
Field
141
Field strength
+0.161 SG

The 2013-2014 Northern Trust Open was played at The Riviera Country Club, starting 13 February 2014. Bubba Watson won at 15 under par (269), 2 strokes ahead of Dustin Johnson. The winning card was 70, 71, 64 and 64, and the win paid $1,206,000. Dustin Johnson finished second, and Brian Harman and Jason Allred tied for third. 141 players started the event. The field averaged +0.161 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 87% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 141. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 77 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.197
Top-20 hit rate
35%
Top-10 avg model rank
29.9

Grade is this event’s percentile (15th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Justin Rose1st45th
Webb Simpson2nd70th
Jim Furyk3rd23rd
Keegan Bradley4th20th
Charl Schwartzel5th5th
Jordan Spieth6th12th
Bubba Watson7th1st
Graham DeLaet8th70th
Dustin Johnson9th2nd
Hunter Mahan10th52nd

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Webb Simpson2nd70th(+68)
Graham DeLaet8th70th(+62)
Charlie Beljan72nd12th(−60)
Jason Allred57th3rd(−54)
Jason Dufner12th65th(+53)
Sangmoon Bae65th12th(−53)
Pat Perez23rd75th(+52)
Brian Harman54th3rd(−51)
Aaron Baddeley63rd18th(−45)
Robert Allenby74th29th(−45)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at The Riviera Country Club in Pacific Palisades, California, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Northern Trust Open in 2013-2014?

Bubba Watson won the 2013-2014 Northern Trust Open at The Riviera Country Club, finishing 15 under par.

Where was the 2013-2014 Northern Trust Open played?

The 2013-2014 Northern Trust Open was played at The Riviera Country Club, starting 13 February 2014.

What was the winning score at the 2013-2014 Northern Trust Open?

The winning score was 15 under par (269 strokes), posted by Bubba Watson.

How many players were in the Northern Trust Open field?

141 players started the 2013-2014 Northern Trust Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.