OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2020-2021

Mayakoba Golf Classic presented by UNIFIN

2020-12-03 · El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba

Winner
Viktor Hovland
Winning score
-20
Field
128
Field strength
+0.04 SG

The 2020-2021 Mayakoba Golf Classic presented by UNIFIN was played at El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba, starting 3 December 2020. Viktor Hovland won at 20 under par (264), 1 stroke ahead of Aaron Wise. The winning card was 67, 69, 63 and 65, and the win paid $1,296,000. Aaron Wise finished second, and Adam Long and Tom Hoge tied for third. 128 players started the event. The field averaged +0.04 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 86% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 128. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 71 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Agrade
Rank correlation
+0.535
Top-20 hit rate
60%
Top-10 avg model rank
17.0

Grade is this event’s percentile (97th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Justin Thomas1st12th
Abraham Ancer2nd12th
Tony Finau3rd8th
Daniel Berger4th23rd
Joaquin Niemann5th23rd
Harris English6th5th
Kevin Streelman7th32nd
Corey Conners8th17th
Billy Horschel9th5th
Charles Howell III10th23rd

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Harold Varner III13th71st(+58)
Austin Eckroat54th12th(−42)
Will Zalatoris14th52nd(+38)
Vince Whaley60th23rd(−37)
Tom Hoge35th3rd(−32)
Patrick Rodgers49th17th(−32)
Satoshi Kodaira71st40th(−31)
Bo Hoag53rd23rd(−30)
Steve Stricker46th17th(−29)
Chris Baker59th30th(−29)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba in Riviera Maya, MEX. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Mayakoba Golf Classic presented by UNIFIN in 2020-2021?

Viktor Hovland won the 2020-2021 Mayakoba Golf Classic presented by UNIFIN at El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba, finishing 20 under par.

Where was the 2020-2021 Mayakoba Golf Classic presented by UNIFIN played?

The 2020-2021 Mayakoba Golf Classic presented by UNIFIN was played at El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba, starting 3 December 2020.

What was the winning score at the 2020-2021 Mayakoba Golf Classic presented by UNIFIN?

The winning score was 20 under par (264 strokes), posted by Viktor Hovland.

How many players were in the Mayakoba Golf Classic presented by UNIFIN field?

128 players started the 2020-2021 Mayakoba Golf Classic presented by UNIFIN. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.