OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2022-2023

Masters Tournament

2023-04-06 · Augusta National Golf Club

Winner
Jon Rahm
Winning score
-12
Field
88
Field strength
+0.813 SG

The 2022-2023 Masters Tournament was played at Augusta National Golf Club, starting 6 April 2023. Jon Rahm won at 12 under par (276), 4 strokes ahead of Brooks Koepka. The winning card was 65, 69, 73 and 69, and the win paid $3,240,000. Brooks Koepka and Phil Mickelson tied for second. 88 players started the event. The field averaged +0.813 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 55% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 88. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 53 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.321
Top-20 hit rate
65%
Top-10 avg model rank
22.9

Grade is this event’s percentile (49th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Scottie Scheffler1st10th
Jon Rahm2nd1st
Patrick Cantlay3rd14th
Tony Finau4th26th
Xander Schauffele5th10th
Viktor Hovland6th7th
Sungjae Im7th16th
Cameron Smith8th34th
Collin Morikawa9th10th
Max Homa10th43rd

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Phil Mickelson52nd2nd(−50)
Brooks Koepka40th2nd(−38)
Sam Bennett53rd16th(−37)
Patrick Reed39th4th(−35)
Max Homa10th43rd(+33)
Dustin Johnson15th48th(+33)
Keith Mitchell24th53rd(+29)
Gary Woodland42nd14th(−28)
Cameron Smith8th34th(+26)
Russell Henley29th4th(−25)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Augusta National Golf Club in Augusta, Georgia, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Masters Tournament in 2022-2023?

Jon Rahm won the 2022-2023 Masters Tournament at Augusta National Golf Club, finishing 12 under par.

Where was the 2022-2023 Masters Tournament played?

The 2022-2023 Masters Tournament was played at Augusta National Golf Club, starting 6 April 2023.

What was the winning score at the 2022-2023 Masters Tournament?

The winning score was 12 under par (276 strokes), posted by Jon Rahm.

How many players were in the Masters Tournament field?

88 players started the 2022-2023 Masters Tournament. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.