OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2020-2021

Masters Tournament (2021)

2021-04-08 · Augusta National Golf Club

Winner
Hideki Matsuyama
Winning score
-10
Field
87
Field strength
+0.618 SG

The 2020-2021 Masters Tournament (2021) was played at Augusta National Golf Club, starting 8 April 2021. Hideki Matsuyama won at 10 under par (278), 1 stroke ahead of Will Zalatoris. The winning card was 69, 71, 65 and 73, and the win paid $2,070,000. Will Zalatoris finished second, and Jordan Spieth and Xander Schauffele tied for third. 87 players started the event. The field averaged +0.618 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 82% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 87. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 54 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.345
Top-20 hit rate
50%
Top-10 avg model rank
16.8

Grade is this event’s percentile (58th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Justin Thomas1st21st
Jon Rahm2nd5th
Xander Schauffele3rd3rd
Bryson DeChambeau4th46th
Webb Simpson5th12th
Tony Finau6th10th
Patrick Reed7th8th
Viktor Hovland8th21st
Collin Morikawa9th18th
Tyrrell Hatton10th18th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Bryson DeChambeau4th46th(+42)
Marc Leishman46th5th(−41)
Robert MacIntyre53rd12th(−41)
Stewart Cink45th12th(−33)
Jason Kokrak18th49th(+31)
Adam Scott23rd54th(+31)
Phil Mickelson49th21st(−28)
Si Woo Kim38th12th(−26)
Joaquin Niemann16th40th(+24)
Kevin Na36th12th(−24)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Augusta National Golf Club in Augusta, Georgia, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Masters Tournament (2021) in 2020-2021?

Hideki Matsuyama won the 2020-2021 Masters Tournament (2021) at Augusta National Golf Club, finishing 10 under par.

Where was the 2020-2021 Masters Tournament (2021) played?

The 2020-2021 Masters Tournament (2021) was played at Augusta National Golf Club, starting 8 April 2021.

What was the winning score at the 2020-2021 Masters Tournament (2021)?

The winning score was 10 under par (278 strokes), posted by Hideki Matsuyama.

How many players were in the Masters Tournament (2021) field?

87 players started the 2020-2021 Masters Tournament (2021). Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.