OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2017-2018

Masters Tournament

2018-04-05 · Augusta National Golf Club

Winner
Patrick Reed
Winning score
-15
Field
87
Field strength
+0.739 SG

The 2017-2018 Masters Tournament was played at Augusta National Golf Club, starting 5 April 2018. Patrick Reed won at 15 under par (273), 1 stroke ahead of Rickie Fowler. The winning card was 69, 66, 67 and 71, and the win paid $1,980,000. Rickie Fowler finished second, and Jordan Spieth was third. 87 players started the event. The field averaged +0.739 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 67% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 87. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 53 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Agrade
Rank correlation
+0.538
Top-20 hit rate
70%
Top-10 avg model rank
15.2

Grade is this event’s percentile (97th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Dustin Johnson1st10th
Jordan Spieth2nd3rd
Paul Casey3rd15th
Rickie Fowler4th2nd
Justin Rose5th12th
Justin Thomas6th17th
Jon Rahm7th4th
Jason Day8th20th
Henrik Stenson9th5th
Hideki Matsuyama10th19th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Cameron Smith41st5th(−36)
Bubba Watson39th5th(−34)
Jimmy Walker48th20th(−28)
Chez Reavie26th53rd(+27)
Si Woo Kim50th24th(−26)
Phil Mickelson12th36th(+24)
Satoshi Kodaira52nd28th(−24)
Bernd Wiesberger47th24th(−23)
Patrick Reed22nd1st(−21)
Brian Harman23rd44th(+21)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Augusta National Golf Club in Augusta, Georgia, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Masters Tournament in 2017-2018?

Patrick Reed won the 2017-2018 Masters Tournament at Augusta National Golf Club, finishing 15 under par.

Where was the 2017-2018 Masters Tournament played?

The 2017-2018 Masters Tournament was played at Augusta National Golf Club, starting 5 April 2018.

What was the winning score at the 2017-2018 Masters Tournament?

The winning score was 15 under par (273 strokes), posted by Patrick Reed.

How many players were in the Masters Tournament field?

87 players started the 2017-2018 Masters Tournament. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.