Tournaments / 2015-2016
Masters Tournament
2016-04-07 · Augusta National Golf Club
- Winner
- Danny Willett
- Winning score
- -5
- Field
- 89
- Field strength
- +0.555 SG
The 2015-2016 Masters Tournament was played at Augusta National Golf Club, starting 7 April 2016. Danny Willett won at 5 under par (283), 3 strokes ahead of Jordan Spieth. The winning card was 70, 74, 72 and 67, and the win paid $1,800,000. Jordan Spieth and Lee Westwood tied for second. 89 players started the event. The field averaged +0.555 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 64% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.
Final leaderboard
Top 20 of 89. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.
- Danny Willett
- Pos
- 1
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 74
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 283
- Jordan Spieth
- Pos
- T2
- R1
- 66
- R2
- 74
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 73
- Total
- 286
- Lee Westwood
- Pos
- T2
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 75
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 286
- Dustin Johnson
- Pos
- T4
- R1
- 73
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 287
- J.B. Holmes
- Pos
- T4
- R1
- 72
- R2
- 73
- R3
- 74
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 287
- Paul Casey
- Pos
- T4
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 77
- R3
- 74
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 287
- Hideki Matsuyama
- Pos
- T7
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 73
- Total
- 288
- Matt Fitzpatrick
- Pos
- T7
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 76
- R3
- 74
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 288
- Søren Kjeldsen
- Pos
- T7
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 74
- R3
- 74
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 288
- Brandt Snedeker
- Pos
- T10
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 74
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 289
- Daniel Berger
- Pos
- T10
- R1
- 73
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 74
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 289
- Jason Day
- Pos
- T10
- R1
- 72
- R2
- 73
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 73
- Total
- 289
- Justin Rose
- Pos
- T10
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 77
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 289
- Rory McIlroy
- Pos
- T10
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 77
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 289
- Kiradech Aphibarnrat
- Pos
- T15
- R1
- 72
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 77
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 291
- Louis Oosthuizen
- Pos
- T15
- R1
- 72
- R2
- 77
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 291
- Billy Horschel
- Pos
- T17
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 77
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 292
- Danny Lee
- Pos
- T17
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 74
- R3
- 79
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 292
- Emiliano Grillo
- Pos
- T17
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 75
- R3
- 74
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 292
- Rafa Cabrera Bello
- Pos
- T17
- R1
- 74
- R2
- 73
- R3
- 75
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 292
Model score
Backtest · reconstructedOur course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 57 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.
- Rank correlation
- +0.403
- Top-20 hit rate
- 50%
- Top-10 avg model rank
- 19.1
Grade is this event’s percentile (73rd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.
Who the model liked
Its top 10, and where they finished.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Rory McIlroy | 1st | 10th |
| Jordan Spieth | 2nd | 2nd |
| Jason Day | 3rd | 10th |
| Henrik Stenson | 4th | 24th |
| Justin Rose | 5th | 10th |
| Bubba Watson | 6th | 37th |
| Dustin Johnson | 7th | 4th |
| Paul Casey | 8th | 4th |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 9th | 7th |
| Adam Scott | 10th | 42nd |
Where it was most wrong
Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Søren Kjeldsen | 51st | 7th(−44) |
| Kevin Na | 19th | 55th(+36) |
| Adam Scott | 10th | 42nd(+32) |
| Patrick Reed | 17th | 49th(+32) |
| Lee Westwood | 34th | 2nd(−32) |
| Bubba Watson | 6th | 37th(+31) |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | 38th | 7th(−31) |
| Ángel Cabrera | 54th | 24th(−30) |
| Kiradech Aphibarnrat | 44th | 15th(−29) |
| Bernhard Langer | 52nd | 24th(−28) |
One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.
This event in the model
OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.
This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works
The venue
This event was played at Augusta National Golf Club in Augusta, Georgia, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.
Common questions
Who won the Masters Tournament in 2015-2016?
Where was the 2015-2016 Masters Tournament played?
What was the winning score at the 2015-2016 Masters Tournament?
How many players were in the Masters Tournament field?
Where these numbers come from
Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.