OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2013

Masters Tournament

2013-04-11 · Augusta National Golf Club

Winner
Adam Scott
Winning score
-9
Field
93
Field strength
+0.557 SG

The 2013 Masters Tournament was played at Augusta National Golf Club, starting 11 April 2013. Adam Scott won at 9 under par (279). The winning card was 69, 72, 69 and 69, and the win paid $1,440,000. Ángel Cabrera finished second, and Jason Day was third. 93 players started the event. The field averaged +0.557 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 67% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 93. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 61 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.276
Top-20 hit rate
40%
Top-10 avg model rank
21.6

Grade is this event’s percentile (36th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Justin Rose1st25th
Tiger Woods2nd4th
Rory McIlroy3rd25th
Adam Scott4th1st
Jim Furyk5th25th
Steve Stricker6th20th
Sergio Garcia7th8th
Bubba Watson8th50th
Brandt Snedeker9th6th
Matt Kuchar10th8th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Ángel Cabrera53rd2nd(−51)
Keegan Bradley11th54th(+43)
Bubba Watson8th50th(+42)
Phil Mickelson12th54th(+42)
Marc Leishman46th4th(−42)
Branden Grace56th18th(−38)
Gonzalo Fernandez-Castaño58th20th(−38)
Thorbjørn Olesen40th6th(−34)
John Huh41st11th(−30)
David Toms42nd13th(−29)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Augusta National Golf Club in Augusta, Georgia, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Masters Tournament in 2013?

Adam Scott won the 2013 Masters Tournament at Augusta National Golf Club, finishing 9 under par.

Where was the 2013 Masters Tournament played?

The 2013 Masters Tournament was played at Augusta National Golf Club, starting 11 April 2013.

What was the winning score at the 2013 Masters Tournament?

The winning score was 9 under par (279 strokes), posted by Adam Scott.

How many players were in the Masters Tournament field?

93 players started the 2013 Masters Tournament. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.