OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2026

John Deere Classic

2026-07-02 · TPC Deere Run

Winner
Chris Gotterup
Winning score
-20
Field
138
Field strength
-0.081 SG

The 2026 John Deere Classic was played at TPC Deere Run, starting 2 July 2026. Chris Gotterup won at 20 under par (264), 1 stroke ahead of Max Homa. The winning card was 66, 68, 68 and 62, and the win paid $1,584,000. Max Homa finished second, and Ben Kohles, Lee Hodges and Lucas Glover tied for third. 138 players started the event. The field averaged -0.081 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 72% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 138. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 75 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.255
Top-20 hit rate
35%
Top-10 avg model rank
26.4

Grade is this event’s percentile (28th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Chris Gotterup1st1st
Ben Griffin2nd21st
Keegan Bradley3rd26th
Keith Mitchell4th51st
Jacob Bridgeman5th26th
Rickie Fowler6th15th
Christiaan Bezuidenhout7th12th
Eric Cole8th39th
J.T. Poston9th51st
Jordan Spieth10th58th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Preston Stout72nd15th(−57)
Sungjae Im15th71st(+56)
Tyler Duncan62nd12th(−50)
A.J. Ewart22nd71st(+49)
Jordan Spieth10th58th(+48)
Keith Mitchell4th51st(+47)
Troy Merritt65th21st(−44)
Harry Higgs64th21st(−43)
J.T. Poston9th51st(+42)
Pontus Nyholm67th26th(−41)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at TPC Deere Run in Silvis, Illinois, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the John Deere Classic in 2026?

Chris Gotterup won the 2026 John Deere Classic at TPC Deere Run, finishing 20 under par.

Where was the 2026 John Deere Classic played?

The 2026 John Deere Classic was played at TPC Deere Run, starting 2 July 2026.

What was the winning score at the 2026 John Deere Classic?

The winning score was 20 under par (264 strokes), posted by Chris Gotterup.

How many players were in the John Deere Classic field?

138 players started the 2026 John Deere Classic. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.