OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2021-2022

John Deere Classic

2022-06-30 · TPC Deere Run

Winner
J.T. Poston
Winning score
-21
Field
148
Field strength
-0.151 SG

The 2021-2022 John Deere Classic was played at TPC Deere Run, starting 30 June 2022. J.T. Poston won at 21 under par (263), 3 strokes ahead of Christiaan Bezuidenhout. The winning card was 62, 65, 67 and 69, and the win paid $1,278,000. Christiaan Bezuidenhout and Emiliano Grillo tied for second. 148 players started the event. The field averaged -0.151 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 72% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 148. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 67 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Agrade
Rank correlation
+0.486
Top-20 hit rate
60%
Top-10 avg model rank
18.2

Grade is this event’s percentile (92nd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Brendon Todd1st43rd
Maverick McNealy2nd8th
Denny McCarthy3rd6th
Kevin Streelman4th41st
Charles Howell III5th13th
Scott Stallings6th4th
Adam Long7th13th
C.T. Pan8th24th
Christiaan Bezuidenhout9th2nd
Martin Laird10th30th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Zach Johnson14th60th(+46)
Bo Hoag59th16th(−43)
Brendon Todd1st43rd(+42)
Callum Tarren48th6th(−42)
Chesson Hadley51st10th(−41)
Austin Cook54th16th(−38)
Kevin Streelman4th41st(+37)
Rory Sabbatini26th63rd(+37)
Michael Gligic46th10th(−36)
Chris Naegel52nd16th(−36)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at TPC Deere Run in Silvis, Illinois, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the John Deere Classic in 2021-2022?

J.T. Poston won the 2021-2022 John Deere Classic at TPC Deere Run, finishing 21 under par.

Where was the 2021-2022 John Deere Classic played?

The 2021-2022 John Deere Classic was played at TPC Deere Run, starting 30 June 2022.

What was the winning score at the 2021-2022 John Deere Classic?

The winning score was 21 under par (263 strokes), posted by J.T. Poston.

How many players were in the John Deere Classic field?

148 players started the 2021-2022 John Deere Classic. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.