OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2018-2019

John Deere Classic

2019-07-11 · TPC Deere Run

Winner
Dylan Frittelli
Winning score
-21
Field
154
Field strength
-0.122 SG

The 2018-2019 John Deere Classic was played at TPC Deere Run, starting 11 July 2019. Dylan Frittelli won at 21 under par (263), 2 strokes ahead of Russell Henley. The winning card was 66, 68, 65 and 64, and the win paid $1,080,000. Russell Henley finished second, and Andrew Landry was third. 154 players started the event. The field averaged -0.122 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 71% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 154. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 80 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Agrade
Rank correlation
+0.493
Top-20 hit rate
45%
Top-10 avg model rank
25.4

Grade is this event’s percentile (93rd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Daniel Berger1st33rd
Ryan Moore2nd18th
Zach Johnson3rd37th
Lucas Glover4th10th
Charles Howell III5th6th
Kyle Stanley6th18th
Sam Ryder7th18th
Nate Lashley8th26th
Vaughn Taylor9th6th
Collin Morikawa10th4th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Chris Stroud58th4th(−54)
Wes Roach63rd10th(−53)
Brendon Todd71st18th(−53)
Wyndham Clark19th71st(+52)
Bill Haas55th10th(−45)
Talor Gooch30th74th(+44)
Peter Malnati16th56th(+40)
Andrew Landry43rd3rd(−40)
Austin Cook28th67th(+39)
Sam Saunders49th10th(−39)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at TPC Deere Run in Silvis, Illinois, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the John Deere Classic in 2018-2019?

Dylan Frittelli won the 2018-2019 John Deere Classic at TPC Deere Run, finishing 21 under par.

Where was the 2018-2019 John Deere Classic played?

The 2018-2019 John Deere Classic was played at TPC Deere Run, starting 11 July 2019.

What was the winning score at the 2018-2019 John Deere Classic?

The winning score was 21 under par (263 strokes), posted by Dylan Frittelli.

How many players were in the John Deere Classic field?

154 players started the 2018-2019 John Deere Classic. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.