OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2013

John Deere Classic

2013-07-11 · TPC Deere Run

Winner
Jordan Spieth
Winning score
-19
Field
145
Field strength
-0.103 SG

The 2013 John Deere Classic was played at TPC Deere Run, starting 11 July 2013. Jordan Spieth won at 19 under par (265). The winning card was 70, 65, 65 and 65, and the win paid $828,000. David Hearn and Zach Johnson tied for second. 145 players started the event. The field averaged -0.103 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 79% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 145. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 67 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Fgrade
Rank correlation
+0.101
Top-20 hit rate
25%
Top-10 avg model rank
20.0

Grade is this event’s percentile (4th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Steve Stricker1st10th
Brendon de Jonge2nd54th
Keegan Bradley3rd61st
Zach Johnson4th2nd
K.J. Choi5th33rd
Ryan Moore6th22nd
Nick Watney7th27th
Kevin Streelman8th44th
Chris Kirk9th22nd
Charles Howell III10th33rd

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Keegan Bradley3rd61st(+58)
Camilo Villegas14th71st(+57)
Brendon de Jonge2nd54th(+52)
Roberto Castro17th68th(+51)
Jim Herman58th10th(−48)
Kevin Sutherland60th12th(−48)
Davis Love III25th72nd(+47)
Steven Bowditch59th12th(−47)
Patrick Rodgers62nd15th(−47)
Carl Pettersson11th54th(+43)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at TPC Deere Run in Silvis, Illinois, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the John Deere Classic in 2013?

Jordan Spieth won the 2013 John Deere Classic at TPC Deere Run, finishing 19 under par.

Where was the 2013 John Deere Classic played?

The 2013 John Deere Classic was played at TPC Deere Run, starting 11 July 2013.

What was the winning score at the 2013 John Deere Classic?

The winning score was 19 under par (265 strokes), posted by Jordan Spieth.

How many players were in the John Deere Classic field?

145 players started the 2013 John Deere Classic. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.