OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2015-2016

Hyundai Tournament of Champions

2016-01-07 · Plantation Course at Kapalua

Winner
Jordan Spieth
Winning score
-30
Field
33
Field strength
+0.416 SG

The 2015-2016 Hyundai Tournament of Champions was played at Plantation Course at Kapalua, starting 7 January 2016. Jordan Spieth won at 30 under par (262), 8 strokes ahead of Patrick Reed. The winning card was 66, 64, 65 and 67, and the win paid $1,180,000. Patrick Reed finished second, and Brandt Snedeker and Brooks Koepka tied for third. 33 players started the event. The field averaged +0.416 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 94% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 33. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 32 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.335
Top-16 hit rate
63%
Top-10 avg model rank
13.9

Grade is this event’s percentile (55th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Jordan Spieth1st1st
Jason Day2nd10th
Bubba Watson3rd10th
Rickie Fowler4th5th
Zach Johnson5th21st
Dustin Johnson6th10th
Justin Thomas7th21st
Patrick Reed8th2nd
Brooks Koepka9th3rd
Russell Knox10th27th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Padraig Harrington31st6th(−25)
Peter Malnati28th6th(−22)
Fabián Gómez26th6th(−20)
Russell Knox10th27th(+17)
Graeme McDowell12th29th(+17)
Zach Johnson5th21st(+16)
Steven Bowditch25th10th(−15)
Justin Thomas7th21st(+14)
Brandt Snedeker17th3rd(−14)
James Hahn21st31st(+10)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Plantation Course at Kapalua in Kapalua, Maui, Hawaii, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Hyundai Tournament of Champions in 2015-2016?

Jordan Spieth won the 2015-2016 Hyundai Tournament of Champions at Plantation Course at Kapalua, finishing 30 under par.

Where was the 2015-2016 Hyundai Tournament of Champions played?

The 2015-2016 Hyundai Tournament of Champions was played at Plantation Course at Kapalua, starting 7 January 2016.

What was the winning score at the 2015-2016 Hyundai Tournament of Champions?

The winning score was 30 under par (262 strokes), posted by Jordan Spieth.

How many players were in the Hyundai Tournament of Champions field?

33 players started the 2015-2016 Hyundai Tournament of Champions. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.