OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2019-2020

Houston Open

2019-10-10 · GC of Houston

Winner
Lanto Griffin
Winning score
-14
Field
137
Field strength
-0.17 SG

The 2019-2020 Houston Open was played at GC of Houston, starting 10 October 2019. Lanto Griffin won at 14 under par (274), 1 stroke ahead of Mark Hubbard. The winning card was 66, 74, 65 and 69, and the win paid $1,350,000. Mark Hubbard and Scott Harrington tied for second. 137 players started the event. The field averaged -0.17 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 72% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 137. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 76 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Bgrade
Rank correlation
+0.454
Top-20 hit rate
50%
Top-10 avg model rank
18.4

Grade is this event’s percentile (86th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Kyle Stanley1st21st
Russell Knox2nd28th
Sam Ryder3rd28th
Denny McCarthy4th9th
Mark Hubbard5th2nd
Bud Cauley6th9th
Sebastián Muñoz7th28th
Russell Henley8th61st
Nick Watney9th28th
Lanto Griffin10th1st

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Chad Campbell74th9th(−65)
Russell Henley8th61st(+53)
J.J. Spaun27th73rd(+46)
Ricky Barnes73rd28th(−45)
Rhein Gibson33rd76th(+43)
Michael Gligic71st28th(−43)
Shawn Stefani24th66th(+42)
Brendon Todd69th28th(−41)
Bill Haas39th78th(+39)
Tyler McCumber64th28th(−36)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at GC of Houston in Humble, Texas, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Houston Open in 2019-2020?

Lanto Griffin won the 2019-2020 Houston Open at GC of Houston, finishing 14 under par.

Where was the 2019-2020 Houston Open played?

The 2019-2020 Houston Open was played at GC of Houston, starting 10 October 2019.

What was the winning score at the 2019-2020 Houston Open?

The winning score was 14 under par (274 strokes), posted by Lanto Griffin.

How many players were in the Houston Open field?

137 players started the 2019-2020 Houston Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.