OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2022-2023

Hero World Challenge

2023-11-30 · Albany GC

Winner
Scottie Scheffler
Winning score
-20
Field
20
Field strength
+1.051 SG

The 2022-2023 Hero World Challenge was played at Albany GC, starting 30 November 2023. Scottie Scheffler won at 20 under par (268), 3 strokes ahead of Sepp Straka. The winning card was 69, 66, 65 and 68, and the win paid $1,000,000. Sepp Straka finished second, and Justin Thomas was third. 20 players started the event. The field averaged +1.051 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 90% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 20. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 20 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.272
Top-10 hit rate
70%
Top-10 avg model rank
8.1

Grade is this event’s percentile (33rd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Scottie Scheffler1st1st
Viktor Hovland2nd10th
Collin Morikawa3rd7th
Max Homa4th13th
Matt Fitzpatrick5th4th
Tony Finau6th4th
Will Zalatoris7th20th
Justin Rose8th8th
Wyndham Clark9th19th
Justin Thomas10th3rd

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Sepp Straka17th2nd(−15)
Will Zalatoris7th20th(+13)
Wyndham Clark9th19th(+10)
Max Homa4th13th(+9)
Viktor Hovland2nd10th(+8)
Jordan Spieth14th6th(−8)
Jason Day19th11th(−8)
Justin Thomas10th3rd(−7)
Brian Harman15th8th(−7)
Lucas Glover18th12th(−6)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Albany GC in Albany, BAH. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Hero World Challenge in 2022-2023?

Scottie Scheffler won the 2022-2023 Hero World Challenge at Albany GC, finishing 20 under par.

Where was the 2022-2023 Hero World Challenge played?

The 2022-2023 Hero World Challenge was played at Albany GC, starting 30 November 2023.

What was the winning score at the 2022-2023 Hero World Challenge?

The winning score was 20 under par (268 strokes), posted by Scottie Scheffler.

How many players were in the Hero World Challenge field?

20 players started the 2022-2023 Hero World Challenge. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.