Tournaments / 2017-2018

Hero World Challenge

2017-11-30 · Albany GC

Winner: Rickie Fowler
Winning score: -18
Field: 18
Field strength: +1.129 SG

The 2017-2018 Hero World Challenge was played at Albany GC, starting 30 November 2017. Rickie Fowler won at 18 under par (270), 4 strokes ahead of Charley Hoffman. The winning card was 67, 70, 72 and 61, and the win paid $1,000,000. Charley Hoffman finished second, and Jordan Spieth and Tommy Fleetwood tied for third. 18 players started the event. The field averaged +1.129 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 18. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.


1	Rickie Fowler	67	70	72	61	270	-18
2	Charley Hoffman	69	63	70	72	274	-14
T3	Jordan Spieth	68	67	72	69	276	-12
T3	Tommy Fleetwood	66	69	74	67	276	-12
T5	Hideki Matsuyama	71	66	72	68	277	-11
T5	Justin Rose	68	68	71	70	277	-11
T5	Patrick Reed	72	66	71	68	277	-11
8	Francesco Molinari	69	68	71	70	278	-10
T9	Matt Kuchar	67	70	72	71	280	-8
T9	Tiger Woods	69	68	75	68	280	-8
11	Justin Thomas	69	70	74	68	281	-7
T12	Alex Noren	73	69	74	71	287	-1
T12	Kevin Kisner	70	72	75	70	287	-1
T14	Daniel Berger	75	73	70	70	288	E
T14	Dustin Johnson	68	72	76	72	288	E
T14	Kevin Chappell	68	70	74	76	288	E
17	Henrik Stenson	70	71	77	71	289	+1
18	Brooks Koepka	71	78	72	70	291	+3

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 18 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Fgrade

Rank correlation: +0.100
Top-9 hit rate: 56%
Top-10 avg model rank: 9.1

Grade is this event’s percentile (4th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

Player	Model	Finish
Jordan Spieth	1st	3rd
Rickie Fowler	2nd	1st
Henrik Stenson	3rd	17th
Dustin Johnson	4th	14th
Hideki Matsuyama	5th	5th
Justin Rose	6th	5th
Justin Thomas	7th	11th
Brooks Koepka	8th	18th
Matt Kuchar	9th	9th
Francesco Molinari	10th	8th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

Player	Model	Finish
Henrik Stenson	3rd	17th(+14)
Charley Hoffman	16th	2nd(−14)
Dustin Johnson	4th	14th(+10)
Brooks Koepka	8th	18th(+10)
Tommy Fleetwood	12th	3rd(−9)
Patrick Reed	13th	5th(−8)
Tiger Woods	17th	9th(−8)
Alex Noren	18th	12th(−6)
Justin Thomas	7th	11th(+4)
Daniel Berger	11th	14th(+3)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's model Probabilities and the track record How the model works

The venue

This event was played at Albany GC in Albany, BAH. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Hero World Challenge in 2017-2018?

Rickie Fowler won the 2017-2018 Hero World Challenge at Albany GC, finishing 18 under par.

Where was the 2017-2018 Hero World Challenge played?

The 2017-2018 Hero World Challenge was played at Albany GC, starting 30 November 2017.

What was the winning score at the 2017-2018 Hero World Challenge?

The winning score was 18 under par (270 strokes), posted by Rickie Fowler.

How many players were in the Hero World Challenge field?

18 players started the 2017-2018 Hero World Challenge. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.