OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2014-2015

Hero World Challenge

2014-12-04 · Isleworth G&CC

Winner
Jordan Spieth
Winning score
-26
Field
18
Field strength
+1.243 SG

The 2014-2015 Hero World Challenge was played at Isleworth G&CC, starting 4 December 2014. Jordan Spieth won at 26 under par (262), 10 strokes ahead of Henrik Stenson. The winning card was 66, 67, 63 and 66, and the win paid $1,000,000. Henrik Stenson finished second, and Keegan Bradley and Patrick Reed tied for third. 18 players started the event. The field averaged +1.243 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 83% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 18. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 18 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.214
Top-9 hit rate
67%
Top-10 avg model rank
8.9

Grade is this event’s percentile (19th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Justin Rose1st6th
Matt Kuchar2nd8th
Henrik Stenson3rd2nd
Jason Day4th5th
Bubba Watson5th11th
Steve Stricker6th14th
Rickie Fowler7th6th
Graeme McDowell8th11th
Jordan Spieth9th1st
Tiger Woods10th17th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Patrick Reed18th3rd(−15)
Keegan Bradley13th3rd(−10)
Billy Horschel17th8th(−9)
Steve Stricker6th14th(+8)
Jordan Spieth9th1st(−8)
Tiger Woods10th17th(+7)
Zach Johnson15th8th(−7)
Matt Kuchar2nd8th(+6)
Bubba Watson5th11th(+6)
Justin Rose1st6th(+5)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Isleworth G&CC in Windermere, Florida, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Hero World Challenge in 2014-2015?

Jordan Spieth won the 2014-2015 Hero World Challenge at Isleworth G&CC, finishing 26 under par.

Where was the 2014-2015 Hero World Challenge played?

The 2014-2015 Hero World Challenge was played at Isleworth G&CC, starting 4 December 2014.

What was the winning score at the 2014-2015 Hero World Challenge?

The winning score was 26 under par (262 strokes), posted by Jordan Spieth.

How many players were in the Hero World Challenge field?

18 players started the 2014-2015 Hero World Challenge. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.