OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2018-2019

Genesis Open

2019-02-14 · The Riviera Country Club

Winner
J.B. Holmes
Winning score
-14
Field
142
Field strength
+0.124 SG

The 2018-2019 Genesis Open was played at The Riviera Country Club, starting 14 February 2019. J.B. Holmes won at 14 under par (270), 1 stroke ahead of Justin Thomas. The winning card was 63, 69, 68 and 70, and the win paid $1,332,000. Justin Thomas finished second, and Si Woo Kim was third. 142 players started the event. The field averaged +0.124 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 89% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 142. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 75 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Bgrade
Rank correlation
+0.472
Top-20 hit rate
60%
Top-10 avg model rank
19.1

Grade is this event’s percentile (89th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Dustin Johnson1st9th
Justin Thomas2nd2nd
Patrick Cantlay3rd15th
Rory McIlroy4th4th
Jordan Spieth5th51st
Tommy Fleetwood6th28th
Hideki Matsuyama7th9th
Tony Finau8th15th
Tiger Woods9th15th
Jon Rahm10th9th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Jonas Blixt71st15th(−56)
Adam Hadwin20th75th(+55)
Kelly Kraft63rd9th(−54)
Carlos Ortiz61st9th(−52)
Jordan Spieth5th51st(+46)
K.H. Lee70th25th(−45)
Kyle Jones75th33rd(−42)
Patrick Rodgers54th15th(−39)
J.B. Holmes38th1st(−37)
Si Woo Kim40th3rd(−37)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at The Riviera Country Club in Pacific Palisades, California, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Genesis Open in 2018-2019?

J.B. Holmes won the 2018-2019 Genesis Open at The Riviera Country Club, finishing 14 under par.

Where was the 2018-2019 Genesis Open played?

The 2018-2019 Genesis Open was played at The Riviera Country Club, starting 14 February 2019.

What was the winning score at the 2018-2019 Genesis Open?

The winning score was 14 under par (270 strokes), posted by J.B. Holmes.

How many players were in the Genesis Open field?

142 players started the 2018-2019 Genesis Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.