OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2014-2015

Frys.com Open

2014-10-09 · Silverado Resort (North Course)

Winner
Sangmoon Bae
Winning score
-15
Field
141
Field strength
+0.018 SG

The 2014-2015 Frys.com Open was played at Silverado Resort (North Course), starting 9 October 2014. Sangmoon Bae won at 15 under par (273), 2 strokes ahead of Steven Bowditch. The winning card was 66, 69, 65 and 73, and the win paid $1,080,000. Steven Bowditch finished second. 141 players started the event. The field averaged +0.018 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 87% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 141. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 73 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Fgrade
Rank correlation
-0.037
Top-20 hit rate
20%
Top-10 avg model rank
29.6

Grade is this event’s percentile (0th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Matt Kuchar1st21st
Brandt Snedeker2nd57th
Graham DeLaet3rd39th
Jimmy Walker4th63rd
Hunter Mahan5th3rd
Lee Westwood6th12th
Russell Knox7th68th
Brendon de Jonge8th31st
Jerry Kelly9th39th
Hideki Matsuyama10th3rd

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Russell Knox7th68th(+61)
Charles Howell III11th71st(+60)
Jimmy Walker4th63rd(+59)
Brandt Snedeker2nd57th(+55)
Hudson Swafford63rd8th(−55)
David Hearn14th68th(+54)
Bo Van Pelt15th65th(+50)
Derek Fathauer59th12th(−47)
Stuart Appleby20th65th(+45)
Robert Allenby51st8th(−43)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Silverado Resort (North Course) in Napa, California, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Frys.com Open in 2014-2015?

Sangmoon Bae won the 2014-2015 Frys.com Open at Silverado Resort (North Course), finishing 15 under par.

Where was the 2014-2015 Frys.com Open played?

The 2014-2015 Frys.com Open was played at Silverado Resort (North Course), starting 9 October 2014.

What was the winning score at the 2014-2015 Frys.com Open?

The winning score was 15 under par (273 strokes), posted by Sangmoon Bae.

How many players were in the Frys.com Open field?

141 players started the 2014-2015 Frys.com Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.