OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2022-2023

Fortinet Championship

2022-09-15 · Silverado Resort (North Course)

Winner
Max Homa
Winning score
-16
Field
151
Field strength
-0.056 SG

The 2022-2023 Fortinet Championship was played at Silverado Resort (North Course), starting 15 September 2022. Max Homa won at 16 under par (272), 1 stroke ahead of Danny Willett. The winning card was 65, 67, 72 and 68, and the win paid $1,440,000. Danny Willett finished second, and Taylor Montgomery was third. 151 players started the event. The field averaged -0.056 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 92% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 151. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 73 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Fgrade
Rank correlation
-0.015
Top-20 hit rate
30%
Top-10 avg model rank
31.1

Grade is this event’s percentile (0th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Hideki Matsuyama1st25th
Max Homa2nd1st
Chris Kirk3rd43rd
Matt Kuchar4th12th
Emiliano Grillo5th25th
Tom Hoge6th12th
Kevin Streelman7th59th
Denny McCarthy8th25th
Troy Merritt9th59th
Brendon Todd10th9th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Byeong Hun An62nd4th(−58)
Taylor Pendrith12th67th(+55)
Doug Ghim19th72nd(+53)
Joseph Bramlett65th12th(−53)
Kevin Streelman7th59th(+52)
Justin Lower55th4th(−51)
Zac Blair63rd12th(−51)
Troy Merritt9th59th(+50)
C.T. Pan22nd72nd(+50)
Davis Thompson59th9th(−50)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Silverado Resort (North Course) in Napa, California, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Fortinet Championship in 2022-2023?

Max Homa won the 2022-2023 Fortinet Championship at Silverado Resort (North Course), finishing 16 under par.

Where was the 2022-2023 Fortinet Championship played?

The 2022-2023 Fortinet Championship was played at Silverado Resort (North Course), starting 15 September 2022.

What was the winning score at the 2022-2023 Fortinet Championship?

The winning score was 16 under par (272 strokes), posted by Max Homa.

How many players were in the Fortinet Championship field?

151 players started the 2022-2023 Fortinet Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.