OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2015-2016

Deutsche Bank Championship

2016-09-02 · TPC Boston

Winner
Rory McIlroy
Winning score
-15
Field
100
Field strength
+0.544 SG

The 2015-2016 Deutsche Bank Championship was played at TPC Boston, starting 2 September 2016. Rory McIlroy won at 15 under par (269), 2 strokes ahead of Paul Casey. The winning card was 71, 67, 66 and 65, and the win paid $1,530,000. Paul Casey finished second, and Jimmy Walker was third. 100 players started the event. The field averaged +0.544 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 96% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 100. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 72 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Fgrade
Rank correlation
+0.126
Top-20 hit rate
45%
Top-10 avg model rank
27.0

Grade is this event’s percentile (6th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Rory McIlroy1st1st
Henrik Stenson2nd41st
Jordan Spieth3rd21st
Jason Day4th15th
Justin Rose5th57th
Dustin Johnson6th8th
Hideki Matsuyama7th15th
Matt Kuchar8th46th
Sergio Garcia9th24th
Brooks Koepka10th57th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Fabián Gómez72nd5th(−67)
James Hahn66th5th(−61)
Justin Rose5th57th(+52)
Billy Hurley III60th8th(−52)
Brian Stuard71st21st(−50)
Brooks Koepka10th57th(+47)
Jim Furyk11th57th(+46)
Bill Haas22nd67th(+45)
Charl Schwartzel26th70th(+44)
Brendan Steele28th72nd(+44)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at TPC Boston in Norton, Massachusetts, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Deutsche Bank Championship in 2015-2016?

Rory McIlroy won the 2015-2016 Deutsche Bank Championship at TPC Boston, finishing 15 under par.

Where was the 2015-2016 Deutsche Bank Championship played?

The 2015-2016 Deutsche Bank Championship was played at TPC Boston, starting 2 September 2016.

What was the winning score at the 2015-2016 Deutsche Bank Championship?

The winning score was 15 under par (269 strokes), posted by Rory McIlroy.

How many players were in the Deutsche Bank Championship field?

100 players started the 2015-2016 Deutsche Bank Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.