OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2022-2023

Charles Schwab Challenge

2023-05-25 · Colonial Country Club

Winner
Emiliano Grillo
Winning score
-8
Field
120
Field strength
+0.223 SG

The 2022-2023 Charles Schwab Challenge was played at Colonial Country Club, starting 25 May 2023. Emiliano Grillo won at 8 under par (272). The winning card was 67, 65, 72 and 68, and the win paid $1,566,000. Adam Schenk finished second, and Harry Hall and Scottie Scheffler tied for third. 120 players started the event. The field averaged +0.223 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 93% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 120. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 72 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.241
Top-20 hit rate
40%
Top-10 avg model rank
28.4

Grade is this event’s percentile (25th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Viktor Hovland1st16th
Scottie Scheffler2nd3rd
Collin Morikawa3rd29th
Max Homa4th9th
Justin Rose5th12th
Sam Burns6th6th
Rickie Fowler7th6th
Russell Henley8th16th
Tom Hoge9th52nd
Brian Harman10th29th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Paul Haley II72nd5th(−67)
Chad Ramey66th12th(−54)
Harry Hall49th3rd(−46)
K.H. Lee13th57th(+44)
Austin Smotherman65th21st(−44)
Tom Hoge9th52nd(+43)
Brendon Todd14th57th(+43)
Stephan Jaeger25th68th(+43)
Adam Schenk45th2nd(−43)
Kramer Hickok64th21st(−43)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Colonial Country Club in Fort Worth, Texas, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Charles Schwab Challenge in 2022-2023?

Emiliano Grillo won the 2022-2023 Charles Schwab Challenge at Colonial Country Club, finishing 8 under par.

Where was the 2022-2023 Charles Schwab Challenge played?

The 2022-2023 Charles Schwab Challenge was played at Colonial Country Club, starting 25 May 2023.

What was the winning score at the 2022-2023 Charles Schwab Challenge?

The winning score was 8 under par (272 strokes), posted by Emiliano Grillo.

How many players were in the Charles Schwab Challenge field?

120 players started the 2022-2023 Charles Schwab Challenge. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.