OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2020-2021

Charles Schwab Challenge

2021-05-27 · Colonial Country Club

Winner
Jason Kokrak
Winning score
-14
Field
124
Field strength
+0.178 SG

The 2020-2021 Charles Schwab Challenge was played at Colonial Country Club, starting 27 May 2021. Jason Kokrak won at 14 under par (266), 2 strokes ahead of Jordan Spieth. The winning card was 65, 65, 66 and 70, and the win paid $1,350,000. Jordan Spieth finished second. 124 players started the event. The field averaged +0.178 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 92% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 124. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 74 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Bgrade
Rank correlation
+0.465
Top-20 hit rate
45%
Top-10 avg model rank
21.5

Grade is this event’s percentile (88th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Justin Thomas1st40th
Collin Morikawa2nd14th
Tony Finau3rd20th
Daniel Berger4th20th
Abraham Ancer5th14th
Joaquin Niemann6th50th
Jordan Spieth7th2nd
Jason Kokrak8th1st
Brian Harman9th8th
Corey Conners10th20th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Kramer Hickok70th14th(−56)
Chris Kirk18th69th(+51)
Kyle Stanley54th8th(−46)
Joaquin Niemann6th50th(+44)
Will Zalatoris17th59th(+42)
Erik Compton61st20th(−41)
Justin Thomas1st40th(+39)
Patton Kizzire41st3rd(−38)
Troy Merritt45th7th(−38)
Vince Whaley58th20th(−38)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Colonial Country Club in Fort Worth, Texas, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Charles Schwab Challenge in 2020-2021?

Jason Kokrak won the 2020-2021 Charles Schwab Challenge at Colonial Country Club, finishing 14 under par.

Where was the 2020-2021 Charles Schwab Challenge played?

The 2020-2021 Charles Schwab Challenge was played at Colonial Country Club, starting 27 May 2021.

What was the winning score at the 2020-2021 Charles Schwab Challenge?

The winning score was 14 under par (266 strokes), posted by Jason Kokrak.

How many players were in the Charles Schwab Challenge field?

124 players started the 2020-2021 Charles Schwab Challenge. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.