OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2018-2019

Charles Schwab Challenge

2019-05-23 · Colonial Country Club

Winner
Kevin Na
Winning score
-13
Field
125
Field strength
+0.172 SG

The 2018-2019 Charles Schwab Challenge was played at Colonial Country Club, starting 23 May 2019. Kevin Na won at 13 under par (267), 4 strokes ahead of Tony Finau. The winning card was 70, 62, 69 and 66, and the win paid $1,314,000. Tony Finau finished second, and Andrew Putnam and C.T. Pan tied for third. 125 players started the event. The field averaged +0.172 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 86% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 125. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 73 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Fgrade
Rank correlation
+0.181
Top-20 hit rate
50%
Top-10 avg model rank
18.9

Grade is this event’s percentile (13th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Justin Rose1st58th
Jordan Spieth2nd8th
Francesco Molinari3rd53rd
Tony Finau4th2nd
Ian Poulter5th70th
Emiliano Grillo6th19th
Byeong Hun An7th68th
Kevin Na8th1st
Billy Horschel9th19th
Tyrrell Hatton10th8th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Ian Poulter5th70th(+65)
Byeong Hun An7th68th(+61)
Mackenzie Hughes66th8th(−58)
Justin Rose1st58th(+57)
Graeme McDowell20th73rd(+53)
Josh Teater69th17th(−52)
Francesco Molinari3rd53rd(+50)
Jonas Blixt52nd5th(−47)
Matt Fitzpatrick18th64th(+46)
Nate Lashley24th69th(+45)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

This event in the model

OTIS ranks every field on how well each player's game matches the course, then prices their chances. Both are published in full and graded afterwards.

This week's modelProbabilities and the track recordHow the model works

The venue

This event was played at Colonial Country Club in Fort Worth, Texas, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Charles Schwab Challenge in 2018-2019?

Kevin Na won the 2018-2019 Charles Schwab Challenge at Colonial Country Club, finishing 13 under par.

Where was the 2018-2019 Charles Schwab Challenge played?

The 2018-2019 Charles Schwab Challenge was played at Colonial Country Club, starting 23 May 2019.

What was the winning score at the 2018-2019 Charles Schwab Challenge?

The winning score was 13 under par (267 strokes), posted by Kevin Na.

How many players were in the Charles Schwab Challenge field?

125 players started the 2018-2019 Charles Schwab Challenge. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where no value was published, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.